An Optimist's View Of Where We Stand
Bumped. RickVa, one of Curtain's fine sagacious patriarcal residents, weighs in on the state of the Steelers organization. After my post about Roethlisberger - that frankly I think was misconstrued a bit - this should be a well received offering for all. Well done, sir. - Blitz-
**********************************************
I admit to being a shameless optimist when it comes to evaluating the progress of the Steelers at this time of the year. But I am certainly not a pollyanna. I understand the attitudes of many in the Nation. Some are perfectionists, others are Chicken Littles who always see the sky ready to fall. Some fall far short of these extremes, but are worriers that trend toward pessimism. I'm fine with all of that. It shows that many of us care very deeply about the team, and like many parents our focus goes to all of things that could go wrong. However, I want to put forward a couple of arguments that might give us a reason to look forward to the '08 with a certain amount of confidence and even a bit of swagger. The lone disclaimer is if this turns out to be a particularly unlucky year on the injury front, or with motorcycle accidents or with the police blotter all bets are off.
THE ONE THING MOST OVERLOOKED ABOUT THIS TEAM
This is only the beginning of the second year of the Mike Tomlin era. Think about this for a moment, because we as a Nation are not accustomed to change. Add the fact that Cowher retired, meaning the team was not in crisis (beyond having an uncharacteristically bad year). The changes made were relatively minimal; no sweeping personnel moves, much of the staff remained intact, the general team philosophy remained the same (run the ball, stop the run, etc.). So we can be forgiven if we believe that we know most or all of how this team will conduct its business from this point forward. I suggest that last year should be viewed strictly in terms of transition; a feeling out process for coach and players like the first round or two of a boxing match. Like a boxing match it would be a mistake to think that the pace and rhythm of the opening rounds is what to expect in the later rounds. I don't consider myself an expert on Tomlin, but I think that what will distinguish his approach will be greater thoroughness and creativity in preparation (Who predicted our moves in the draft?), highly aggressive ("violent") play on all three sides of the ball (offense, defense, ST), and a general unsympathetic ruthlessness in pursuit of team goals. Tomlin probably will not have the exact team that he wants for another year or two, but don't let that lull you into thinking that this is some sort of throwaway year, as some have seemed to imply. This team will compete, schedule be damned, real or perceived personnel deficiencies be damned. The goal will be a Lombardi Trophy, period. Don't assume that the process that we witnessed last year is the process that will unfold this Summer/Fall. I think there are surprises to come. I think we'll be very pleased with many of them.
OFFENSIVE LINE
Division winners, second ranked QB in the league (Pro Bowl), league leading rusher (Pro Bowl). Otherwise the offensive line is absolutely terrible. My take has always been that the line's difficulties have been the consequence of new schemes plus some disruption of the unit (for example, the retirement of Jeff Hartings). Like most I am not a fan of his replacement Mahan. While I like Colon, he seemed to be overwhelmed by the concept of a speed rush. (Heaven help Ben when we play the Giants). Nonetheless, I see the glass as half full. Some players are in contract years (Smith, Essex, Starks) and must play well if they are to realize top dollar and/or quality options when they enter free agency. The addition of Hartwig, the promotion of Kemo, the promise of players like Hills, Stapleton. I think a quality unit can be cobbled together from these pieces, plus a year's experience with the system. Of course, such a thing should be expected with a new system. Also, call me a sucker, but I buy the bit about having more weapons improving the line performance. Holding the ball for six seconds can make a lot of lines look bad. Defensive coaches know how to effectively attack defenses. And even if one of the better O-Linemen fell down to Pittsburgh in the draft, it's unlikely any one person could help turn around the disaster that the pessimists have laid out in one season.
THE SCHEDULE
Yes, we have the schedule from Hell. But besides Tomlin's admonition that we have to go through most of these folks to get to the goal anyway, take a deep breath and consider this. The most reliable path to the playoffs is to win the division. And the good news is that everyone in the AFC North has the same hellish schedule. Granted we have the more difficult first place schedule (Patriots and Chargers), but on the other hand, we don't have to play the Steelers twice. The Browns have improved, but given the fact that we have won nine straight I would say that to panic or concede superiority to them is way premature. Now, if during the second game of the season they're dragging our guys out to Lake Erie and drowning them, then maybe there could be some cause for alarm. Generally speaking I would say that we have the best defense, best running attack, best QB in the division. The improvements of the other teams have been insufficient to overcome those and other advantages.
TOP COMPETITORS
The one lesson that should be learned from the last Super Bowl is that there are no invincible teams in the NFL. Let's review some of the current crop of juggernauts and some interesting facts.
Patriots. Best team in the Universe dominates the weakest division in the AFC. Has not won a championship in four years. Spygate will not go away.
Chargers. Best team to have not won a championship in over 40 years! No Lombardi Trophies. Zip. Nada. Only trip to Super Bowl was when they upset the chokin' dog Steelers in '94. The Super Bowl was over halfway through the first quarter. But who knows? This may be the year. The Cubs are playing well too.
Colts. Might not win their division this year. Ousted from the playoffs two of the last three years by losing divisional playoff games at home.
Jaguars. Seem to have our number and scare the hell out of us, but get smacked around by other teams.
Titans. The Houston Oilers by any other name.
Packers. Favre's retired.\
Cowboys (this is a joke. For Terry's benefit) Haven't won a playoff game in a decade. Shows the absolutely amazing things you can accomplish with a crackerjack PR staff. Probably won't win their division.
Giants. I'm predicting one of the ugliest Super Bowl hangovers ever.
In summary, I like where we stand right now. I wouldn't want anybody else's hand but our own. Not just for loyalty's sake, but because we've got a shot if we stay reasonably healthy, take care of business within the division and peak late. What do you think?
1 recs |
14 comments
Comments
Nice post
I agree a lot we saw last year was Tomlin putting his stamp on the team. He is following Cowher 1 year after a Super Bowl.
OL- The only thing I am worried about is the contracts. 3 FA tackles scare me. About losing Alan( btw so wanted him back), what I haven’t see anyone say is this .was the 1st year he wasn’t next to an all pro center. His play wasn’t great. Yeah, he is a a great run blocker, and a so so pass protector, but his play was down. I really think the bad center play was then issue with our OL. I am hoping Hartwig is a nice stopgap. Part 2. a lot of the reason everyone says our line sux is the sacks. Well when you run for 2 yards on 1st and 2nd down yeah they are going to hit you. I think it was Blitz’s post that showed it was after Mahan dropped all the weigtht our sacks went up.
Schedule: it will work itself out. If this team makes the play offs after the schedule it had…I feel bad for the team we meet! The NFL called down the Thunder …..I feel bad for any team that enters our wake!
by SteelBuckeye on May 1, 2008 9:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
interesting point buckeye
Hadn’t thought about the fact that Faneca’s played next time some incredible centers. Very interesting that Faneca was so good playing along side a Pro Bowl center and not so spectacular next to Mahan. That probably will prompt me to look into who the better guards in NFL history played with at center. I’d have to watch lots of tape and speak to people who know more about the inner workings of run and pass blocking in terms of assignments, gaps, etc. but you may be on to something. The Guard and Center may have much more co-dependence on each other for success than tackles and guards.
by Blitzburgh on May 1, 2008 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
played next to some incredible centers* that should read. whoops
by Blitzburgh on May 1, 2008 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can we not then logically conclude
That this may be also the cause of Simmons difficulties
by RickVa on May 2, 2008 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep
Plus let’s add that Colon was a 1st year tackle, and Smith’s back problems. Looking back we had 2 guards trying to protect the guys on both sides of them that’s got to cause chaos.
by SteelBuckeye on May 3, 2008 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
here's one way I'll be judging Tomlin
I think very highly of Tomlin and only unforeseeable circumstances will change that opinion any time soon. Here’s one small way however that I can become utterly convinced we have the right guy:
if Bruce Davis pans out in a big way.
Tomlin apparently had a strong say in selecting him over Avril and some other guys that we have been clamoring for. After watching Davis’ highlights and reading about him, I’m extremely hopeful that he’s going to be a badass in the pros. If so, that would mean Tomlin correctly identified competitiveness and instincts with Davis over measurables.
It should be clear by now that I’m very high on Jerod Mayo, the player I selected #8 in our Mock Draft. I’m almost as intrigued by Davis. I think Mayo will be better, but expectations for him are (rightfully so) much higher than they are for Davis.
For any of you that might like the NBA. I think Davis could be like Shane Battier for Houston. Battier, despite not being the fastest or highest jumper, is a sick defender, a clutch open shooter, and the ultimate competitor and glue-guy for a team. I think Davis will be similarly effective.
Anyway, at least for me, these are the kinds of things I want to see play out in years two-four of the Tomlin era. Mark me down now as a believer in Davis’ ability to surprise us all.
by Blitzburgh on May 2, 2008 2:36 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It's funny
I’d agree with you on Davis, except the Battier comparison. Davis is a much brasher guy. Battier is always cool, always says the right thing, Davis seems to say what he feels in the heat of the moment.
by tkired on May 2, 2008 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
true
Different ‘on field personalities’ but I think Battier is just as internally competitve, he just doesnt verbalize it on the court. But, you’re right, probably better comparisons where all my parameters of comparison were met.
by Blitzburgh on May 2, 2008 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Peaking at the right time
If you remember our Super Bowl win in ‘05, The Giants win this year. Most Non-Steeler and non-Giant fans will say that these teams were not the best, but they were peaking at the right time. This is a very important factor in a championship run. With the competitive nature of the NFL and all the great talent and coaching the playoff teams have these days, generally when you get down to the final 4 teams it’s not who’s been best over the season, it’s who’s peaking at that point in time that going to win the game. A team has to have belief in one another and “gel” in order for this to happen. When Tomlin came in last year I believe it was absolutely necessary for him to push the team very hard, be demanding, and not let up from the first day on. I’m a coach and I understand the importance of letting the players know you mean business from the first day. If you don’t establish your position, you’re going to get walked all over. And for a 35 year old head coach following Cowher, it was critical for him to do this from day one. When Tomlin interviewed with the Rooney family he brought in his practice plan for the entire season… Details and everything. He earned the job! He’s already got his practice plans laid out for this year and I wouldn’t be surprised if the players got a few more days off during mini-camps. He’ll still be pushing the guys, but look for him to be much harder on the Rookies and new guys because he’s established respect from much of the existing players. Practices will still be intense, but I think he’ll just give them more time off. What this means is that come week 13 we’ll have better legs, be more fresh, and ideally be peaking at the right time.
Tony - Stillers Fan in Raleigh
by Tshaff on May 2, 2008 7:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Even the Colts
Great points about the Steelers and Giants peaking at the right time. I would even add the Colts to that, in that they are the only SB winning team to finish dead last in rush defense for the regular season. But, with a little help from Bob Sanders returning, and other guys stepping up, they (I believe, anyway) had the top rushing defense in the playoffs. So, really each of the last 3 champs have been teams that turned something around to peak at the right time.
by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 2, 2008 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agree 100%
I think your assessment is perfect. I don’t think many appreciate the difficulty of the situation he was stepping into. It’s one thing to be a 35 year old unknown entering a losing or mediocre situation, quite another to be in the position to have to prove yourself to champions. Many of whom were rooting for one or the other of your interviewing competitors. How he handled that situation is greatly underappreciated I think. Without that issue to deal with this year, we’ll get a much better sense of how he’ll run the team on a year to year basis.
by RickVa on May 2, 2008 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Quick Question
If the Cowboys probably won’t win the NFC East and the Giants will suffer a huge SB hangover, who is your pick to win that division?
by cgolden on May 2, 2008 11:40 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Philly
Reports of their death have been premature. If McNabb and Westbrook stay healthy of course. And I wouldn’t be shocked if it were the Skins. Zorn has been quietly doing all the right things in DC, and they had a good draft.
by RickVa on May 2, 2008 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The difference
among the teams in the NFC East is razor thin.
by RickVa on May 2, 2008 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

by 


















