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The Best Steelers Draft In Years

Turn your mind back three months in time. To the Super Bowl. Two minutes left in the game. Eli Manning drops back to pass, looks to his right, and fires. Think back to that moment, when you saw Asante Samuel - maybe the league's best cornerback - jump up near the sideline, hands raised to make an interception...

As you no doubt recall, he dropped it, the ball glancing right off his hands and out of bounds, allowing the Giants their improbable, thrilling, upset-clinching final scoring drive.

Now imagine that Samuel catches that ball. The Patriots get the ball, run out the clock, breathe a huge sigh of relief, and are crowned one of the best football teams of all-time. The talk about the Giants? Now: "They fought hard, kept it close, but in the end, couldn't stop the mighty Patriots, owners of the NFL's most fearsome offense ever seen."

Now turn back your mind one week to the NFL Draft, imagining still that the Patriots achieved perfection. And join me in the Steelers' post-draft chat wrap with ESPN.

Chris Berman: Let's start with your first round pick, left tackle Sam "Green Eggs and Ham" Baker of USC.

Kevin Colbert: Well, we actually thought for a moment that Rashard Mendenhall was going to fall to us at 23, which would have blown us away, but you know, everyone's looking for playmakers on offense right now. We always want to build depth on the line through the draft, and we're very pleased to grab Baker with our first choice.

ESPN: Second round, you guys grab defensive end Calais "I love" Campbell "soup" from Miami.

Kevin Colbert: We decided once again just to draft to our highest needs, and though that's not always panned out for us in recent years, all the guys we had rated highly were off the board. It's funny, you almost wish the Giants had won that Super Bowl which, you know, would have just shaken things up a bit with the draft. I'm not gonna lie to you, when it looked like they might beat New England, I was thinking to myself, 'There's gonna be a lot of value left on the board when we draft as everyone tries to mimic the Giants defense.' [laughs]

Chris Berman: [makes boom-boom-truck noise] I think you're right about that. Back to the studio and Mel Kiper, who's with Rick Smith, director of football operations for the Houston Texans.

Mel Kiper: Rick, you guys went ahead and grabbed Dennis Dixon in the third round of the draft. I love the pick - tell us a little bit about what your thought process was there.

Rick Smith: It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that the league has changed a lot over the last several years. This used to be a run the ball, win-with-defense kind of league, but you look at the Patriots and what they did this year and the Colts and what they did in 2006. And the year before that, you know people forget, but the Steelers won three playoff games on the road when Ken Whisenhunt kicked that offense into another gear.

Defense is certainly important, but especially here in the AFC, you've got to have a great offense to compete right now. I think fans are a little slower to see this, of course, but the spread is working its way into the professional game. New England just killed everyone with the spread this year, and the Colts certainly incorporate some of those spread principles into what they do.

Of course in the college game, almost every great offensive team runs some version of the spread, and though some of those systems won't work in the pros, a lot of those principles are being applied successfully at this level.

So when we looked at Dennis Dixon, we thought he's just a perfect kind of player to help our offense along. He's kind of been mis-branded by some people as some sort of option quarterback - and he can run - but he's a much more complete quarterback than that. He of course had 583 yards rushing on just 105 attempts, including 9 touchdowns, but a lot of people want to downplay his passing, which we think is a mistake.

The kid hit on 68% of his passes as a senior, 8.4 yards per attempt, a 20-4 TD-INT ratio and 161.7 QB Rating. Those are video game numbers, Mel, and if he doesn't hurt that knee, he's holding a Heisman Trophy at the end of year. Probably a national championship trophy, as well.

At 6-4, he's got the height to play quarterback in this league, and our doctors are confident he's got a full recovery from knee surgery in front of him. He was maybe college football's most dynamic player last year and we can see him getting on the field for us in a variety of ways - not just at quarterback.

I've already fielded a few questions about Dixon asking if he's going to be like Kordell Stewart was for the Steelers not too long ago. In some ways, that's fair, in that we think he can be used in a variety of ways, but we want to be real clear here: Dennis Dixon is significantly different from Kordell. You know, Stewart was only 6-1, and though he was athletic, he didn't possess nearly the quickness or agility that Dennis has shown. Kordell's best single season passing the ball at Colorado resulted in a 146.1 QB Rating, which is good, but not great.

It's kind of a shame how Dixon's senior season ended, because a lot of fans not on the west coast didn't get a chance to see exactly how special a quarterback talent he is, but you know, maybe it worked out well for the Houston Texans. We grabbed him in round three and, you know, if he'd finished the year healthy, who knows? It's not unthinkable that he could have been a first or second round choice.

Mel Kiper: Thanks, Rick. I gotta agree with him, Chris. You look at Dennis Dixon and you're talking about a guy that made a great USC defense look absolutely silly. He went to the Big House and had the Wolverines down for the count by halftime. And I love what Rick had to say about the shift we're seeing in the NFL. As the Colts and Patriots set the bar in the league, everyone else is making adjustments to try and keep up. Great pick by the Houston Texans here.

 


 

Whether or not my imagined scenario is totally realistic, I do think the underlying point is a valid one. Two concluding thoughts here:

1) Before this draft, Pittsburgh's offensive skill position core was Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward, Willie Parker, Santonio Holmes, and Heath Miller. That's an outstanding top five to have, but it may partly mask from fans some considerable fraying around the edges. Nate Washington had a solid 2007 season, but isn't a game-changing player. The situation at tailback behind Willie Parker was frighteningly thin. Davenport was a terrific surprise source of help last year, but not someone we want to rely on. And we can't say for sure whether Parker has another 300-carry season in him in 2008.

And what about a back up to Roethlisberger? He stayed healthy all last year and put together a historic season, but what if he were to befall injury? How many of our eggs do we want to put in the Charlie Batch basket?

The point being: though there existed perhaps more obvious needs along both lines, the additions of Mendenhall, Sweed, and Dixon to our offensive depth shouldn't be underappreciated. Even if you don't share my enthusiasm for Dixon as a thrilling steal for the organization, it still should be viewed as a terrific fifth round draft choice as a potential back up for Big Ben.

2) It's always greatly tempting to draft strictly according to your most obvious needs, but for the best teams in the National Football League, the hierarchy of needs is not controlling. Though there's no "one/best way" that a team should draft, there are important principles that great teams use to drive their decisions:

* Do an elite job identifying the best talent and putting together your draft board accordingly.

* Be mindful of pressing needs, but seek players who you're sure can contribute.

* Trust your player development system to turn good talent into great players for your team. Use that trust to draft value without worrying excessively about plugging holes formulaicly.

* Identify inefficiencies in the market and exploit them. If the rest of the league is zigging (copycatting the Giants), then don't be afraid to zag (grabbing elite offensive talent that's slipped too far).

The bottom line is that context counts, and it's never enough just to look at the roster, make decisions about which positions are weakest, and draft accordingly. The New England Patriots are masters at this, drafting great players without obsessing over their needs. They know that when push comes to shove, they'll make things work with good coaching, execution, and some duct tape: Troy Brown at cornerback. Junior Seau at linebacker. Whatever.

And this year, unlike several of recent past, our Steelers drafted tremendous football players who didn't necessarily fit the fans' ideas concerning pressing needs. Pittsburgh's brass probably didn't plan the draft out the way it eventually wound up, but when the draft unfolded as it did, they took advantage.

That's good drafting, and the Pittsburgh Steelers should be - in my opinion - on any short list of teams which performed best on draft day.

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Loved the post and is exactly what I was thinking. The Steelers have always drafted good to great players even with a first year head coach. Next season will be arduous and will test the Steelers’ attrition – as Tomlin always says ‘football is a game of attrition’. I am fully confident in the direction the Steelers have decided to take and am looking forward to a great season.

by TomlinEra on May 2, 2008 8:35 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Interesting Perspective

I hadn’t thought about the draft enough through the prism of last season. Very good read.

by BallsofSteel on May 2, 2008 8:43 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

count it

Well done PB.

I had intentions to write something similar, though certainly not so well put together.

by Blitzburgh on May 2, 2008 8:59 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Drafting for needs

Colt Brennan put up great numbers to, but that doesn’t mean he was a steal in the 6th or wherever they took him. Dixon’s abilities aside, if the Patriots are models for drafting, maybe we should draft for need. They needed LB’s, CB’s, and a backup QB, so their draft went LB, CB, LB, QB, CB, WR, LB. It doesn’t sound like they were going BPA. I don’t think we should draft for need, but when you have a need and you get some really good BPA’s early, you shouldn’t feel bad making a couple of need picks later. In the 5th round, it’s a lot less clear who the BPA is. Dixon could be decent, but he’s certainly a high risk pick, and we already have a good backup QB.

by BadMaafala on May 3, 2008 8:54 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

That's not fair

I’m not basing my approval of the Dixon pick on numbers alone, though I thought them worth pointing out as a contrast to Kordell Stewart, who was never a very good passer, even in college. College stats don’t a pro make, but they do serve as a reference point.

As for the Patriots, like all good system managers, they’re adaptable. When they think they can avoid drafting strictly to needs, they do. Alternatively, if a need is too pressing, they’re fine drafting guys at spots they’re weak. And in between these two poles are other positions they’re willing to take: “Draft to need if __. Ignore need if ___.”

This isn’t to say the Patriots are perfect, or rulers of the draft, but they show an understanding of adaptable management. Which is a good thing.

And I thought Colbert and Co. showed a nice understanding of those principles this year. As we all agree, the BPA value picks in rounds 1 and 2 were terrific. And with Dixon, you and I disagree, but I think it’s a bit of an overstatement to say he’s a “high risk pick” from the 5th round. Two points:

1) Dixon may well not have what it takes to be an NFL-caliber quarterback – even at back up. Whether or not he takes to professional quarterbacking, he’s an NFL-caliber athlete. Which means he can be useful in some capacity if quarterbacking doesn’t work out. Dennis Dixon isn’t Boom or Bust. He’s Boom or Try Plan B. Which leads me to point two.

2) Stocking your need positions in the 5th and 6th round is more often than not just gambling on numbers. The impact players are long gone, so you bring in a bunch of bodies and see if any of ‘em stick. Sometimes players do, and you’ve done well to fill your need by working the numbers game. More often, of course, late draftees never make much impact. On the whole, the back end of the draft is somewhere in between a crap shoot and pin the tail on the donkey.

Given the choice between Dixon and a DE I’ll have to scramble to Google to look up, I was thrilled Pittsburgh took Dixon. Even if we say he’s as big a risk to fail at QB as his fellow fifth round draftees on the DL, Dixon still might prove himself useful in another capacity. We appear to disagree on what his upside is, which is totally fine, but hopefully I’m making sense as to why I see this as a great fifth-round move to make.

Even if you don’t think much of Dixon’s upside at QB, there’s more to consider.

My 2 cents, anyway.

--PB--

by PB @ BON on May 3, 2008 3:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I Split the Difference

I think the first two picks were great. Guys who were undervalued fell into our laps and the right thing to do then was BPA. That’s when they should have adjusted. They had a break Saturday night to step back and say, OK, we’re happy with today, now tomorrow let’s do what our plan was and that is to “Get bigger and younger on both lines.”

I drafting you should never go down a single path with blinders on. At some point you need to address need. Having said that, the FO is alot smarter than I. They know which guys can play and who can’t. You don’t just draft a need position if the guy will never pan.

I am more concerned about D-Line. At least on the O-Line they drafted a big kid from a big program, brought in a good center, feel that Chris Kemo is ready to blossom and overpaid badly for Max Starks. At least that is addressing the situation to an acceptable degree.

I don’t believe you are addressing the situation at D-Line by letting your three starters and Hokey get a year older, re-signing two guys who aren’t good to begin with (Eason and Kirschke) and are old enough to never project being any good, having only one young guy in the wings (McBean) who has never given us indication that he can ever help us and then waiting till the draft is over before you start to think about a few free agents.

Back to the FO though, maybe they all vowed to each other in the war room to sneak by one more year on the D-Line and then sign the best free agent and then draft at least two more. Maybe they felt the guys we drafted were too good to pass up and they promised what I just said.

Bottom line is I can live with everything right now, but I can’t go another year without three D-linemen coming into the fold. We are seriously running the risk of having absolutely no D-linemen. If the old guys all age out together and Eason, Kirschke and McBean aren’t any good to begin with, that’s too much to fix all at once.

by maryrose on May 3, 2008 10:00 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Another variable in the equation

No team – not even the Patriots – just drafts for value. Needs are a variable; in some years, at some positions, need at a position may be dispositive.

Now consider OTs and D-Linemen and the 2008 NFL Draft. Put simply, it was a feeding frenzy. Two consequences of that, of course:

First, with more consumers wanting the same products, the price goes up. Second, and following from the first, the NFL Draft is more or less a zero sum game. So if many teams in the first and second rounds are focused on the same market (OTs and DLs), another market is being underserved. In this case, Mendenhall and Sweed.

I know you said that you liked the first two rounds, but while I share your concern about the defensive line’s future, this was a tough year to fill that need. Pittsburgh could have traded up, but wisely (in my opinion) stayed put.

My final thought is this: we won’t really be able to grade this draft for another several years. But I approve of the strategy this year, given the circumstances. (I happen to be bullish on the players, as well, but we’ll have to wait and see how they all pan out.)

--PB--

by PB @ BON on May 3, 2008 3:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

One more option

High quality post. Thanks for a great contribution PB.

I share many of your concerns Maryrose. However, I think (hope) that there are some options, riskier to be sure, that are in play. I am in agreement with Datruth in that I don’t believe that Booger Mcfarland was just in town on a lark. He’s not medically ready to play, and probably would not be signed until he is which is prudent. But he might just be available later in the summer. If so, he would be a fine contributor and insurance policy for Smith and Keisel. Not a long term solution, but an adequate stop gap until the issue can be addressed more fully at a later time. Might I also say that I believe that just as the acquistion of a high quality running back and receiver can help alleviate some of the issues that we have attributed to the O-line, getting bigger, deeper and faster at linebacker can have a similar impact for our defensive issues. With Woodley and, hopefully, Timmons coming of age, the addition of Baker, Hupel and the FA we picked up from the Chiefs even with an injury to a key lineman we are less likely to see the likes of Fred Taylor running wild through our defense. We should also be able to generate a credible pass rush. Again, not a solution, just a stop gap. I can understand the frustration some feel about how the Steelers handled the second day draft picks. But I believe PB’s point was that paradigm shifts over what stands as ‘common wisdom’ can occur based upon one play in one game. The current paradigm is that lineman will make the difference between winners and losers. In a sense that is a truism about football. But in another sense, unless he is a center, no one lineman is going to turn things around overnight in Pittsburgh. And as you correctly point out, if the guy isn’t high quality or has limited growth potential then you really haven’t helped yourself at all. All the players taken have the potential to be major contributors on this team or in this league over the long haul. With Dixon, as PB so cleverly demonstrates, there may be options and opportunities beyond our short term hand wringing that could benefit this franchise well into the next decade. Is there some risk? Sure. But I commend FO for not making the mistake of reaching for bandaid solutions and taking some creative strokes that may, MAY pay dividends over the long haul.

by RickVa on May 3, 2008 2:09 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Good comment

Not only will one lineman not a draft haul make, but there’s also a higher transaction cost when everyone else is trying to grab linemen, too. It’s like trying to be the first to the iPhone. No sense overpaying in a market frenzy.

--PB--

by PB @ BON on May 3, 2008 5:36 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Two Things

First, the fire sale this year seemed to be with offensive linemen, not defensive linemen. Offense was the position people were trading up in to overpay. I agree to avoid that panic, and I really don’t have a problem with the way the Steelers brought in a new center, developed Kemo, kept Starks (albeit way too hefty) and drafted Tony Hills. That’s enough for me and I’m glad they didn’t join in the market rush.

But the defensive line was a different ball of wax. There were no fire sales on the D-Line. In fact, guys were falling more than rising so the opposite market effect was in play. I didn’t want to overpay for an iPhone. I wanted to underpay for another commodity in the middle rounds.

Second, one lineman can indeed make a huge difference in my opinion. To say that since you need such a “haul” with that position, so why bother at all, will make the problem worse over time. Let’s improve the D-Line one man at a time. That’s fine with me.

That said, if the FO simply deemed that those D-Line guys just weren’t going to help us, then they certainly know more than I.

by maryrose on May 3, 2008 6:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

All good points

And I misread your earlier comments and wound up mischaracterizing your argument. Apologies, sir.

This is a good, healthy debate to have, and though we may not have any definitive answers one week after the draft, I’ve enjoyed the various takes on the Steelers’ draft. I’m more optimistic than most, but freely admit I may be proven oh-so-wrong.

Anyway, great input all around – Bad Ma’afala, maryrose, and RickVa, among others.

--PB--

by PB @ BON on May 3, 2008 7:53 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

This was a great post

Yeah, personally I wanted use to get at least one defensive line man in the draft, but like the FO said you can’t fill every need in every draft. Maybe next year we won’t have the luxury of drafting just the BAP in every round, but that’s football. I posted my thoughts on the Dixon draft under the round 5 draft post.

I may be wrong, but I think Dixon was the only player that came to visit we drafted. All I know is the FO is right more time than I am.

by SteelBuckeye on May 3, 2008 4:29 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Whoa...

Does that post seem kinda Twilight Zone-ish to anyone else? Creeeeeeeepy!

by Romain El 82 on May 3, 2008 5:15 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

One point

Everything in this thread has been very solid, so I can’t add much. But, I did have one thought that I wanted to throw out there. While I agree that just waiting for an UFA DL after the draft may have seemed less wise than taking Dixon in the 5th, it would have been less wise to take a DL who the FO thought was not worth drafting but only worth being considered as an UFA. If that was the case (they considered Dre Moore or Red Bryant as UFA value), then I would have taken the same route.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 3, 2008 10:30 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Campbell

I too wanted to see Campbell, a Steeler, but seeing as he was picked 19th in the second round, we would’ve had to trade up to get him. Even if he had been available at 22nd and so had Sweed, I would’ve taken Sweed hands down.

HSSTEELER told you

by HighSchoolSteeler on May 4, 2008 10:58 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Agree with PB

This was a great draft for the Steelers. While some picks were risky, and who knows what players pan out or not, they made the right picks, and never flinched for need. The only pick where it looked like we’d get a D-lineman was the 4th rounder, where we traded down because Bryant was off the board, and we got Hills later, another need for us. Dixon has special ability, but qb’s are a crapshoot, so he may or may not develop. The d-lineman available obviously did not have as much talent, at least to our FO, so why should they take them? O-line can be coached up, and we really only need 3 D-linemen, except for injury depth. LB’s are our KEY position on D. and QB is the key on O. We now have depth at both.

—side note: Will people please stop dissing Colt Brennan? He was a GREAT leader for UH, and has a quick release, decent arm, height, mobility, and makes SOLID decisions with the ball. He has just as much chance as almost any of these qb’s to make it in the league, with the right west-coast or spread offense.

by tkired on May 4, 2008 5:27 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

i think

I like both of your arguments to a point. I think this was a great draft, I love Mendenhal and Sweed. I also think that, while indeed a risky pick, Dixon can develop into a great talent on the field. I don’t quite see how anyone can say he is not a risky pick, his injury was severe, and we don’t really need another qb. Batch is quite capable and also quite content with the situation as it is. Dixon may not see the field more than a handful of times his first few seasons, which means he would just draw attention to himself, a la Seneca Wallace. I do like the pick though, the kid is a tremendous athlete. But hey, so was Kordell, so was Matt Jones. There is considerable risk involved.

As for the Dline, I’m inclined to wonder just how they plan to proceed these next few years to fill those holes, because one or two injuries and we are in serious trouble. I wouldn’t mind still seeing MacFarland make it on the team.

On a side note, I had this whole long paragraph about how if Kordell posted a 146 rating that would be better than just good. However, after doing some digging, I found out that the college rating cap is higher than the pros.

The NCAA passer rating has an upper limit of 1,261.6 and a lower limit of -731.6. The upper limit value results if every pass thrown is a 99-yard touchdown and the lower limit if every pass thrown for a 99-yard loss. A passer who throws only interceptions will have a -200 rating. Crazy.

by steelerark on May 6, 2008 2:06 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

oh, and

GO PENS!!!!!!

by steelerark on May 6, 2008 2:07 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

2008 Draft - Offensive Line

I thought it was the best Steeler draft in the 5 I’ve followed closely. Even though they just had 6 picks going in and were picking in the bottom third of each round.

I guess the difference for me was that I never saw the O Line as being the disaster that some people did. First of all, Ben would have had the top QB rating in the league except for Brady’s freak season. The best of his 4 seasons in the Burg. Willie Parker was leading the league in rushing when he broke his leg, and was on the way to a career season as well. Those things don’t happen with an O line that needs to be completely rebuilt. The guys on the line accomplished what they did DESPITE a new line coach who appears to have an I.Q. lower than most of their uniform numbers.

When there was such a rush on offensive tackles in the middle of the first round, it was definitely time to look elsewhere. There isn’t much difference between the potential of Tony Hills, the club’s fourth round pick, and some of the position players drafted in the first round. Hills was a top flight (First Team All America) left tackle, who may be moved to guard as a pro. Brandon Albert was a top guard, who because of his draft postion and salary, almost has to move to left tackle in the pros. Which position move is the most likely to be successful would you think?

Without Alan Faneca, the line still returns 3 Super Bowl starters, along with two free agent signees who have both started at least 4 seasons in the NFL. None of them have yet reached 30 years of age. I don’t know that there is another team in the league that has five offensive linemen with the cumulative NFL starts the Steelers have without having at least one player over 30. Marvel Smith and Justin Hartwig turn 30 later this year, Kendall Simmons will be 29, Sean Mahan turns 28, while Max Starks is 26. There are four younger linemen working in behind them, Trai Essex, Chris Kemoeatu, Willie Colon, and Darnell Stapleton, along with this year’s rookie hopefuls Hills and Doug Legursky.

The defensive line is a bit longer in the tooth, but it only has to jam things up for the linebackers and defensive backs in the Steeler defensive scheme for the most part in any event. The team brought in some excellant young kids at linebacker in the past two seasons, Timmons, Woodley, Davis, and Humpal. Next draft will have to address the front line and the defensive backfeild, I would say.

by robert ethan on May 8, 2008 1:45 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs


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