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Another Analytical Study Of The Top RBs in NFL History

WolfpackSteelersFan graciously provides us with an even more comprehensive look at some of the better RBs in NFL history. Great stuff from him, not surprisingly. Enjoy. -Blitz-

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This is a followup to my previous post: Quantitative Analysis of Top 10 RBs in NFL history . In that post I had said I may follow up with a look at the top 10 RBs in yards/game that did not make the top 10 in overall yards. I had also (erroneously) stated that Bo Jackson was the only non-QB in the top 10 in yards/attempt. Further research showed me that Spec Sanders and Marion Motley were in this list. If, like me, you’re wondering who they are, don’t worry. I’m working on another entry to give some biographical info on these two players. But, based on their yards/attempt rankings, I have included these two RBs in this analysis.

There is also one other item of note. I decided to break out Terrell Davis into two categories, first four years and entire career. The reason I did that is because I was curious how his numbers were in the first 4 years, when he was arguably the best RB over any 4 year span in NFL history. After his knee injury at the beginning of year 5, he was never the same. Anyway, on to the analysis.

As before, I have looked at the same categories: 
  • Rushing Yards/Game, Yards/Attempt, TDs/Game and Fumbles/Game
  • Receiving Yards/Game, Yards/Reception, and TDs/Game
  • Total Yards/Game and TDs/Game

Below is a table like the one in the previous entry, but this one includes the addition of ten other RBs (Terrell Davis broken out as described above). The players with a number next to their names are active players, and the number is their current age. All of these are either top ten in career yards/game or yards/attempt, except Franco Harris. I included him because he is ranked 11th in all time rushing yards, putting him just outside the top ten, and he’s a Steeler legend. You may click on the picture to enlarge if you have trouble reading it.

Btsc_rbwork-add_medium 

Click to enlarge picture

I wanted to see if adding these other players into the analysis would make a significant change in the rankings of the top players from the last analysis, mainly Jim Brown and Barry Sanders. So, I went through the same analysis process, just with additional players. So, once again, I ranked them all according to each category. The results are shown in the table below. You will need to click on the picture to enlarge it and make it more legible.

Btsc_rbwork_medium 

Click to enlarge picture 

And, finally, as before, I ranked the players by taking their summing their ranks in each category and dividing by 9, the number of categories analyzed. The results are:

Btsc_rbwork2_medium 

So, what does this all tell us? Well, it still looks like Jim Brown takes the prize. It is less clear in this analysis, because he no longer dominates the number one position is most categories. But, he’s still the leader when comparing Overall Average Ranks. He’s still in the top four in 7 of 9 categories. LT and Spec Sanders were second to Brown with both in the top four in 5 of the 9 categories. Even being number 1 in 3 categories is not enough to put LT above Brown in the average rank, due to his relatively lower rankings in a couple of other categories. Terrell Davis didn’t catch the ball enough in his short career to be considered in Brown’s league, and Marshall Faulk didn’t run the ball enough.

 

Speaking of short careers, that brings me to a final thought in this analysis. I have included some players that had shorter careers, or are still currently in the prime of their careers. I think most NFL fans would have a hard time making serious arguments for Terrell Davis, Spec Sanders and Clinton Portis to be ranked as greater RBs than Walter Payton, Marcus Allen, Emmitt Smith, Tony Dorsett, Eric Dickerson, Franco Harris and Jerome Bettis. This would be largely due to the shortness of their careers. None of those players who only played 4 to 7 years would have had those declining years to begin pulling down their per game or per attempt numbers. But, even with those players factored in, Jim Brown is still at the top of the list. Admittedly, he also retired before his talents began to decline, but that was after playing 9 years, which is a full career for many RBs. He was still clearly the best player in the league when he retired, and likely would have remained so for a good 3 to 5 years. Again, there were a few points of interest that I wanted to bring up:

 

  • In the last analysis, I surmised that rules changes in the 80s had been a reason that Jim Brown ranked so low in fumbles/game when compared to other players who played most of their careers after 1990. However, the two oldest players in this analysis (Motley and Spec Sanders) are the top two in terms of least fumbles per game. They had very high yards/attempt and yards/reception, which must have meant that they were very elusive runners, rather than being power backs that were likely to fight for extra yards. The lower rush yards/game would seem to fit with this hypothesis as well, if they were not the RBs touching the ball 25-35 times a game.

  • I was surprised that Bo Jackson’s yards/game numbers were so low. For a player with such a high yards/attempt, and known as strong runner (as well as fast), I would have expected him to carry the ball more, even considering that he played two sports.

  • I was also a little surprised that LaDainian Tomlinson didn’t have a bit higher rank in rush yards/game and yards/reception.

As I said last time, we can’t compare players in an exact science, because of the different time periods and the increasing athleticism of more recent players. But, having gone through these two analyses, I think we can conclusively say that no running back was more dominant in his time than Jim Brown. Whether you compare him against the others in the top ten overall rushing yards or against those with shorter careers who had higher per game or per touch statistics, he beats them when considering all aspects together. LT has the potential to surpass him, as it appears today, but it will be interesting to see if he does.

 

Thoughts?

 

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One thing I've learned

I feel like I’ve really missed out by not seeing Jim Brown play. I honestly feel like Barry is the best back I’ve ever seen play, but I sure wish I could have seen Brown so I can put them side by side.

I’m also surprised how high LT ranked, I wouldn’t have thought he’d be that high. His receiving numbers inflate his value but we’re still seeing one of the greatest in his prime right now.

by cgolden on May 5, 2008 10:15 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

LT receiving numbers

I wouldn’t say that receiving numbers inflate his value for two reasons. One, he ranked pretty low in yards/reception, and two, he is top five in terms of rush yards/game.

But, I actually expected that his rush yards/game would be higher, because, I believe that he is the fastest player to 10,000 yards rushing. That must be in terms of seasons, and not games.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 10:16 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

jeez

Wasn’t aware Bo Jackson had so few yards. That’s astounding really, even if he did have such a short career.

by Blitzburgh on May 6, 2008 10:49 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Jackson

Yeah, I was literally shocked at low his overall and yards/game were. I know he played two sports and had a short career, but with all of the hype, and the production when he did touch the ball, I would have expected more.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 11:08 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Bo

I think we’ve just see so many highlights of him that we assume he had a great career. Who can’t picture him running over Brian Bosworth in their head right now or how about him running past the entire Seahawks defense for a TD and running all the way up the tunnel? Where those plays in the same game, like a Monday nighter or something?

by cgolden on May 6, 2008 11:26 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Terrell Davis

Can anyone imagine the kind of career that TD would have had if Shannahan hadn’t run him into the ground. He should the poster boy of the Curse of 370. TD had 392 carries (473 if you count 3 playoff games) and over 2,000 yards in 1998 (his fourth year). Sadly he’d only play in 16 games in the next three seasons and then his once promising career would be over. If only Shannahan was a Curtain reader, he’d know about the Curse (granted that was 6 yrs before BTSC was born).

by cgolden on May 6, 2008 11:05 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Maybe the best example of the Curse

According to the America’s Game of that season, getting him 2000 yards was a big deal to the whole team. I would bet that they would rather have had him healthy for the next 5+ years, though.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 11:13 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Yea

I’d love to hear an interview where a couple questions about his workload were asked. He was worked like a dog for two years in a row.

by cgolden on May 6, 2008 11:18 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Would be interesting

I think he was on board with pursuing that goal. But, it would be interesting to hear their thoughts after the fact. The certainly could have still won the SB that year if he had only rushed for 1800 yards, instead of 2000.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 11:26 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

yea no doubt

I started doing some research on him at the end of that year and the Broncos already had the #1 seed wrapped up going into that game but he still carried the ball 29 times in the final game. He ended the game with 178 yards and ended the season with 2,008. I’m sure he wanted to get 2,000 as much as everyone did but at some point doesn’t a coach have to try and put some limits on his players. Professional athletes see themselves as indestructible so there’s no way they’re going to say “hey coach we got this wrapped up, shouldn’t I be on the sidelines resting for the playoffs?”

I’m not saying that one game was the tipping point in ending his career, but instead using that game as an example of how this guy was overworked early in his career. This guy had two straight seasons with over 400 carries (including playoffs) and during that two year stretch he touched the ball 969 times (rushing and recieving).

by cgolden on May 6, 2008 11:38 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Wow

That’s a lot of work for one player. Like you say, any competitive player will not ask to sit if he’s healthy. It’s the coach’s responsibility to do that. Of course, they were able to have other RBs have success after TD got hurt, but the team never played up to that level again.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 11:45 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Thanks

It was fun, although gathering the data was sort of tedious. But, the second round was actually easier, because I already had the formats set up.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 11:28 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I refuse to not trust my eyes.

And I’m typically pretty reluctant to go this way, but I have to say it is great analysis, but I cannot conclude other than Barry Sanders was the best RB in the NFL’s history. I don’t know a lot about the Browns while Jim was there, but I’d wager they were a better overall team than the Lions with Sanders.

Go register. Or else.

by Skin Patrol on May 6, 2008 1:33 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Probably the best point

If I get ambitious, I may take a look at the top 3 to 5 and see how many Pro Bowls and/or HOF O-linemen played with each RB. Because, without this analysis I would agree with Barry being the greatest. He was fantastic on a poor team.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on May 6, 2008 3:27 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Bettis

I wonder how much the last handful of seasons hurt Bettis’ value in this study. He was a threat out of the backfield so he’d still rank pretty low but I wonder if he’d catch Jamal Lewis.

by cgolden on May 6, 2008 3:48 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs


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