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An Early Preview of the Steelers Schedule: September

As excited as we all are about the return of football, the painful reality is we're still more than a month away from the start of the season. That gives us plenty of time to look at some of our 2008 opponents, month by month. The forthcoming 'previews' are not overly statistical based. Rather, they are largely my preliminary interpretations of the predominant story lines that might surround each contest. Let's start with the month of Setember, when the weather typically breaks, the pace around the office picks back up, and most importantly, when football commences in earnest at the collegiate and professional level.

Week 1, September 7th, vs. Houston Texans

The Steelers' 2008 schedule kicks off with a home tilt against a Texans team that everybody thinks is ready to break through this year. Is it just me, or have we been hearing this same prognosis for Houston for several years now? I might actually be more inclined to buy the hype this year if the AFC South wasn't such a gauntelet.  But it is, with literally zero gimme divisional games, even at home. So, while I don't think the playoffs are in the cards this year, they should be a consistently tough foe. Read: I don't see many, if any, embarassing performances from Houston like we saw in the David Carr years. Whether or not they win the close games all NFL teams encounter each year, will determine their fate as either a 6 or 7 win team, or a playoff contender with 9 or 10 Ws.

For all the ridicule that is directed to the Texans organization, the front office has actually done a really nice job in recent years. We all know about Mario Williams, and how the decision to draft him at #1 is looking more and more like a sound idea. But, GM Rick Smith has pulled off some other noteworthy moves and personnel decisions as well. The acquisition of veteran WR Andre Davis has been huge, and he's drafted well in recent years as well. I question their selection of Duane Brown, OT from Virginia Tech in the first round this past April, but I like the later round selections, particularly Frank Okam, DT Texas, in the 5th Round.

To the game. If the Steelers secondary comes to play, and if we can get some pressure on QB Matt Schaub with the fresh legs of our young LBs, then I really like our chances to win this one big. If Schaub has time to pass though, they could make enough big plays to keep this one close into the fourth quarter.

What I'm really curious about though, is seeing how our offensive line looks. I've read one 'expert' predict that Williams will have 20 sacks this year. While that might not be likely, he'll be fresh and eager to get off to a fast start against our offensive line. It should be a nice measuring stick for how our line might look against some young, dynamic pass-rushers for the remainder of the year. I'm also curious to see how Willie Parker has recovered from the broken leg that ended his season in Week 15 last year. His health will go a long way towards determining how many carries Rashard Mendenhall gets early in the season. And finally, I'm excited to see Big Ben take to the field again in the wake of his incredible 2007 campaign, not to mention his contract extension.

I think all of us will feel like young children on Christmas Eve the night before the Steelers return to action again on Sunday September 7th.

Week 2, September 14th, @ Cleveland Browns

Use the search function here on BehindtheSteelCurtain and type in Browns, and you'll see just how much time we've spent covering our one-time perennial adversaries from Lake Erie. Now, don't get me wrong. The Browns are still are rivals in the strictest of definitions, but said rivalry has been so one-sided for the past decade or so.  I personally feel that all the extra attention the Browns have garnered from Steelers fans is a product of the excitement and anxious anticipation we feel that they appear to be set to challenge the Steelers' hegemony over the AFC North for the forseeable future.

When you consider the fact that Cleveland is facing a tough Dallas team in Week 1, they likely will be facing Pittsburgh in Week 2 desperately trying to avoid an 0-2 start. If that does in fact happen, the questions and innuendos will begin to fly about what's going wrong with the team that all the national pundits had predicted to win the AFC North and contend for a Super Bowl appearance in the rugged AFC.  None of this might not matter, but for a coach that has yet to make the playoffs, and with a back-up QB making millions on the bench awaiting his chance, there's just plenty of juicy sub-plots that could materialize early on in Cleveland's schedule.

That said, the Browns should be dangerous, particularly on offense. The offensive line is better than it has been since the 1980s. The special teams are a threat to strike, thanks to Joshua Cribbs and his electric skills as a return-man. And Derek Anderson has ample weapons at his disposal.

If the Derek Anderson-Brady Quinn story does not take center stage, the attention will then shift to the Browns defense. Defensive tackles Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams were brought in to tighten up a run defense that ranked 27th in the league, at 129.5 yards per game.

Get a load of this though. The Browns defense gave up only 8 rushing TDs last year, the 6th best mark in the NFL, despite giving up 37 total TDs. The pass defense yielded 29 TDs in 2007. Only Cincinnati, New Orleans and Detroit gave up as many, or more, TDs through the air than Cleveland. For all the commendable things Phil Savage has done with this Browns roster in recent years, he hasn't been able to truly address one of the team's most glaring needs: pass defense.

Man, I hope Big Ben goes off in this game.

Week 3, September 21st, @ Philadelphia

Ah yes, our first reminder of why many consider the Steelers' 2008 schedule one of the tougher ones in recent history, if not ever. Is Philadelphia an unbeatable, awe-inspiring opponent? Not really. But this one's at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, where the Eagles have been tough this decade. Granted, they did post a sub-par 3-5 home record last year, and they were 3-5 as well in 2005, so they're not untouchable at home. But if this one were at Heinz, I'd most certainly feel different about our chances, mainly because I think the offensive line might encounter it's first major hiccup in this game.

The Eagles, if nothing else, will truly test our offensive line. Defensive coordinator Jim Johnson is famous for his blitzing style, and if there was anybody I'd want coordinating our defense other than Dick LeBeau, Johnson would be on the short list. His teams play hard for him, hit ferociously, and get after the quarterback. Last year, the Eagles recorded 37 sacks, tied for 9th most in the league. The year before, they were 9th as well, with 40 sacks.

Finally, we should get a good idea just how far along guys like LaMarr Woodley and Lawrence Timmons are when we watch them try to chase down the ever-elusive Bryant Westbrook. That guy can play, and you can count on him making life difficult for our linebackers.

I think this game will give us a good idea of how tough we are physically and mentally. It should be a dog fight, and it's doubtful that the Eagles aren't going to be fired up and coming out swinging when we head east across the state in the third week of September.

Week 4, September 29th, vs. Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh's first appearance on Monday Night Football comes in Week 4, against the most hated of foes, the Baltimore Ravens. Earlier this offseason, I made a list of my favorite sports memories. Included on the list was last year's waxing of Baltimore, also on Monday Night Football. There will be no 75th Anniversary Celebration this year, but the team will don the same throwback unis that we wore last year in the rain when Big Ben pitched a perfect game, and the defense annihilated the impotent Ravens' offense for most all of the contest.

Conventional wisdom suggests that Baltimore should have a down year. RB Willis McGahee is dealing with knee issues, there are injury concerns at both tackle positions, and of couse, the team will be breaking in a new head coach. That's all before mentioning the QB problems they have. Joe Flacco likely won't be asked to take the field in September, so Kyle Boller or Troy Smith will likely be at the controls. That should make the Steelers defenders salivate in anticipatory delight.

All that said, the Ravens have had the Steelers number in recent years, aside from that one game last year. In the season finale, the Ravens thumped the Steelers, albeit a Steelers team that was resting many of their key players, including Ben Roethlisberger for the entire contest. Still, Ray Lewis & Co. find a way to usually get up for us, and I wouldn't be surprised if we had some issues running the football. Perhaps Mendenahll will provide us with a different type of runner to attack their defense, beacuse God knows that we haven't had much success behind FWP in year's past.

We'll see, but so long as we don't turn the ball over more than once or twice, and convert some necessary third downs near the middle of the field and in Ravens' territory, we should be able to put up the 17-24 points necessary to hold off Baltimore.

*********************************

Conclusions:

This is going to be a tough first month of football. Houston and Baltimore should both be Ws, due to talent disparities and home-field advantage. But neither team is a cupcake, particularly Houston. As for our road games? They're challenging, and in the case of the Cleveland game, potentially very critical. If Cleveland plays up to expctations this year, this division race could come down to the wire. Head-to-head match-ups could determine who's moving on, and who's done for the year come January.

The good news is that we are capable of starting 4-0, and certainly capable of winning three of four. If we were to win the Cleveland game, a 2-2 record would not be the end of the world by any means.

The bad news is that things get a lot tougher in October and November. After the MNF contest against Baltimore, we have a short week to prepare for and travel to Jacksonville. Ugh.

If noting else, September should be an entertaining month of football for us fans. There's the rivalry games against Cleveland and Baltimore, against two very different opponents. And there's our first foray into the choppy waters of the NFC East when we travel to Philly. 

We're getting close, friends. Get pumped. And if you're still looking for Steelers tickets, click through and find a pair to a game that suits your fancy and travel needs. Year two of the Tomlin era should be an exciting one. I can't wait.

0 recs  |  Comment 30 comments

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Good breakdown

I like it Blitz. I look for a tuff game from the Texans, but the B & G should prevail. The Browns game IMO is pivotal. I am sure the Cowboys will give them their first loss of the season as Romo, TO and Co. will expose that secondary. The Cowboys will soften them up for us in week two. That game is a must win for the Steelers. Crushing them on their home turf with all of their high expectations will knock alot of that new found swagger out of their season. I also look for wins against the Eagles and Ravens. 4-0 is well within reach in September. I can hardly wait!

by steelersrock08 on Aug 6, 2008 9:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Can I ask you what you’d put the point spread on for the Browns-Cowboys game?

by kwoog on Aug 6, 2008 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know you didn't ask me but

I’ll throw my two cents out there anyways. If I set the spread it would be Cowboys -4.5. I gave the Browns three points since they’re at home.

by cgolden on Aug 6, 2008 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think that’s pretty fair, maybe even generous… I’m actually very happy we’re opening w/ Dallas (at home). If this team, never having faced expectations, were to open against, say, Houston, I’d be more worried that they might “expect” to win, take this matchup lightly and possibly look ahead to the very important week 2. But starting against a strong pre-season SB pick like Dallas as an underdog is a perfect segue to maintain the chip they have on their shoulders from last year.

Btw, thanks for the article on zone vs. power blocking. Didn’t exactly know that about the hole-creation differences.

by kwoog on Aug 6, 2008 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thanks

It was a cool little project considering that I knew nothing about zone blocking going in.

by cgolden on Aug 6, 2008 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

kwoog

I have been a Steelers fan since I can remember, so my distaste for the browns will never go away. I have also been reading on this blog for a few months now, and I must say that even though you are a browns fan I have a great deal of respect for you and your well thought out comments and level headed posts. It is good to have a rivalry with someone who understands their team and the game. And also doesn’t just sound off with a bunch of pointless blah blah blah. You have and objective opinion and can hold an insightful conversation. But….....I STILL HOPE WE POUND YOU GUYS INTO THE TURF!!!!! Hahahahaha, seriously good luck and I can’t wait for the season.

60 minute men

by I.W.H.F.M.D.95 on Aug 8, 2008 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haha, right on man, thanks for the post… I’ve been in Santa Fe on vacation for the past week so I haven’t been keeping up lately. Anyway, I enjoy being part of this “conversation”, and I know that learning more about the Steelers and their fans from this site has made me enjoy the offseason, and being a footbal fan, that much more.

That being said, man I hope we destroy you guys on the 14th. In my opinion, it’s long overdue!

by kwoog on Aug 9, 2008 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

week one lines...

are out already…at least on sportsbook.com

by spakajewia on Aug 6, 2008 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Blitz

Hear this out. As much as i do not like to look at this as a stepping stone because in the NFL on any given Sunday anyone can beat anyone. But however, lets say we beat the Houston and going into week 2, The Browns beat the cowboys in week one (like I said any given sunday). We face the Browns in Week 2 after a huge win over the Boys. Do you think that will boast the Browns confidence and carry on to week 2? or do you think a win over the Boys will make them think they are better than they are too soon?

A win over the Boys is huge in any given week. But I feel that if the Browns can pull off a win over the Boys, it will only help us in week two verse the Browns. I know it will be early in the season, but with the browns most of those players are not used to this kind of hype and a winning season. So I do not know if i should be rooting for the Browns (yuk) or the Boys in week one. either way i would like to hear what some people thing about this kind of outcome.

* till next time wave those towels proud

by LiveinDCbutsteelerfanbyheart on Aug 6, 2008 9:37 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Browns aren't going to beat the Boys

no need need for thanks either.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Aug 6, 2008 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, we are.

by kwoog on Aug 6, 2008 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do we need to pull this car over?

Alright you two… :)

The way I look at it is, if the Browns beat the Cowboys, how much the better when we take out the Browns ourselves (as long as Mahan isn’t playing center).

by SCSteeler on Aug 6, 2008 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Looking ahead, or letdown?

There are various scenarios possible. The Browns may look past the Cowboys just because they have the Steelers the next week, but on the other hand, if they do beat the Cowboys, they may have a letdown against us, or come in overconfident.

Or, just because it’s so early in the season, they may start out like gangbusters, and beat the ‘boys and the Steelers. If that happens, then they will be well on their way to getting alot of hype. Then it will all depend on how they handle success. I wouldn’t be surprised if they end up falling back like the Bengals.

I guess I always feel better about playing an opponent coming off of a win. If nothing else, a loss makes you want it more the next week, especially if you still have hope to go to the playoffs. Of course, then, there’s always the possibility of running into a bad team with a bad record that just plays wide open, with nothing to lose. But, that wouldn’t apply here, too early in the season.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on Aug 6, 2008 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think confidence is very important in football. That’s why I’d always rather face a team that just lost.

by kwoog on Aug 6, 2008 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on the team, I guess. Some teams always seem to rebound and play tougher coming off of a loss, while others just give up.

by WolfpackSteelersFan on Aug 6, 2008 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Texans

That game will be tough but their offense doesn’t really scare me. Does anyone actually think that the trio of declining Ahman Green, Chris Brown and rookie Steve Slaton will be able to run on this D? Especially considering our D-Line and LBs will be fresh and hungry. Andre Johnson is a beast and he’ll test Ike but their offense won’t put up enough of a fight to contend. I do fear their defensive front though, especially the left side that features Amobi Okoye and Mario Williams. We’ll know about Marvel’s back early in that game as he’s trying to fend off Mario and Okoye will give Chris K a very good test as well. DeMeco Ryans (MLB) is a hell of player too and he’s a name we should all remember. He just turned 24 and he’s already got two seasons with at least 128 tackles.

Not saying that the Texans will prevail but they’re certainly not the cupcake opponent they were a couple years ago.

by cgolden on Aug 6, 2008 9:40 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

agreed.

Week 1 will give us a good test for our new and hopefully improved O-Line.

by iBleedBlack&Gold on Aug 6, 2008 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Texan D Line

They should be bringing the Pain – A real test out of the gate – Williams, Okoye, and a number of other stout players (Johnson, Colvin), and you have Ryans out there in the Middle. It should be a very good primer going into the Cleveland game – another tough D Line.

by smashmouthsteel on Aug 6, 2008 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Texans

Just skimming through Sporting News season preview – their pass d wasn’t that great last year and apparently isn’t “expected” to be great this year. Agree that their D-line will provide the test we’re all waiting to see. If Ben stays upright – we win. (touch wood!)

by SCSteeler on Aug 6, 2008 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also

4-0 seems very reasonable.

by iBleedBlack&Gold on Aug 6, 2008 10:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I've learned not to take any game for granted

(Hello, Jets) but I can see 3-1, dropping against either Philly or the Ravens.

by Desroko on Aug 6, 2008 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Philly game worries me too

don’t know enough about them to gather a sure prediction.
I guess it depends on how good (healthy) McNabb is.

by iBleedBlack&Gold on Aug 6, 2008 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One Game At A Time

Just beat the Texans by at least 3-2. (I’ll settle for 2-0) Then I’ll be ready to talk about week 2 and the Browns.

When You Run The Ball Good Things Happen

by 5020 on Aug 6, 2008 10:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If

it gets us a W then I’m all for it…

When You Run The Ball Good Things Happen

by 5020 on Aug 6, 2008 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

nice

I like the preview, month by month. Very cool idea. That’s what I love about this site. So many different types of articles to read, rather than just the boring ‘Starks helps out at boys camp’ types of stories that the papers usually run in the offseason.

I can see a ‘possibility’ of us going 4-0, but the cynic in me just doesn’t believe it will happen. One thing I take solace in is that although the ‘experts’ talk about our tough schedule, the Browns, Bengals and Ravens all play the same NFC teams that we play as well. We play some tough AFC teams, but they do too. If this team can beat the Texans and start the season off right, I will be happy. I just hope they don’ t look past the Texans at the Browns the next week. Tomlin doesn’t seem like the coach to let that happen, but ya never know.

by steelerark on Aug 6, 2008 10:38 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Divisional games are so important this year

If we drop a game, I hope it’s against the Iggles, because the divisional games are worth like 1.5 or 1.98 games for us this year. Beating the Browns or Ravens gives us a win, a heads-up tie breaker against that team, and a divisional record tiebreaker against the rest of the division, and gives a loss to a chief opponent. If we go 6-0 in the division and find a way to beat the Redskins, Texans, and Titans, we get a home playoff game.

by BadMaafala on Aug 6, 2008 2:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't know how Sept will go but

Last year we got off to a fast start…new coach…players eager to impress, up tempo…we looked good in pre-season and early games…and of course we faded…

This year, I don’t get the sense we are in the flow in camp like last year…injuries, players on pup. players comfortable with Tomlin, only 80 in camp so Tomlin going softer, etc

So I wouldn’t be surprised to see us start slower thank most expect (lose some games we probably shouldn’t) in sept/oct…also because I feel O-line is going to need time to gel…this will place more pressure on our defense the first half of the season…

But I look for us to have a real strong second half of season…O-line gets in sync, offense clicks and we head into playoffs with momentum.

While it’s impossible to predict game by game what will happen…I feel this will be the be general flow to our season…

by SteelerMike on Aug 6, 2008 9:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

could be right

And I certainly wouldnt mind if this is how things shook out. As pleased as I was with the fast start last season, we of course, fizzled late.

by Michael Bean (Blitz) on Aug 7, 2008 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

XL

We were 7-5 and on the outside looking in, and like all other Cowher teams, we played lights out when our backs were against the wall. Heck afterwards Cowher said we weren’t the best team. We just got hot at the right time. Momentum is huge in football as the game being played 90% above the shoulders. So a team that believes it is good is that much better than a team that ‘expects’ itself to be good.

60 minute men

by I.W.H.F.M.D.95 on Aug 8, 2008 9:39 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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