Initial Observations For the 2008 Season (Or Final Preseason Observations)
A few overlooked items, updates and predictions for the coming campaign. We're almost there.
Tomlin Transition. Have you noticed that nearly every team in the league has had at least one guy who has been suspended for one game or more for violating either league rules or the rules of society? Have you also noticed that the only thing that a Steeler has been guilty of this summer has been being overweight? Last year Tomlin warned his team against being The Guy; the person that makes the newspapers because of flawed conduct. Maybe it's just luck but since jettisoning some of the most recent offenders in the winter months (Cedric and Dookie) no one has been cited for driving erratically, disturbing the peace, violation of league or civil policies. Knock on wood. Consequently, we enter the season blissfully single minded about football. Good fortune or controlling the culture?
Injuries. We've come away luckier than a lot of teams so far. Because of our weaknesses at STs, the loss of Sepulveda may be a bit more devastating development. I've only seen portions of the last three preseason games so I don't know what to make of his replacement. I feel really bad that we won't be seeing Batch in uniform this season (or maybe ever). But it is heartening to know that the IR option was chosen over the settlement option because the former will allow Charlie to be at the practice facility and help tutor both Leftwich and Dixon in mastering the offense. The team will still benefit from his leadership, as a coach for now. And since he is also the player rep for the union he will be available at a critical time in the wake of Upshaw's passing and the transition that it brings. Best of all with or without Batch we remain absolutely solid at QB. All things considered, we enter the season in fortunate circumstances in the injury department.
Newcomers. The buzz and high anticipation for our top draft choices Mendenhall and Sweed are appropriate and each player has given us some tantalizing glimpses at their respective upsides. (Also have provided material to feed SN's tendency toward fatalism, paranoia and angst) But the two most delightful developments on the newcomer front, perhaps because the expectations were not all that high, have been Fox and Dixon. I don't know why KC let him go, but I haven't seen anything so far that I don't like about Fox. Gives us solid depth at ILB and hopefully some help with STs. Dixon has been outstanding. Capable of the homerun with either his arm or his feet. Some may be tempted to make comparisons to Randle El or Kordell, but Dixon's qb skills are so solid that there is no temptation to line him up elsewhere. He's a fast learner, and given the fact that he is less than a year removed from reconstructive knee surgery we can legitimately wonder what he'll be like when he's fully healed. He can be that X factor that keeps defensive coordinators up at nights if Arians can develop a package that utilizes his skill set. The downside is that he may ultimately prove to be too talented to keep over the long haul unless something catastrophic happens to Ben. This guy is not destined to be a back up forever.
O-line. The one wish that pretty much everyone on this site had came true; Mahan was replaced by Hartwig. Panic has abated as the O-line has shown signs of -if not greatness- competence over the preseason (Hate to say I told you so). While outsiders and the less informed see Faneca's departure as a net loss, his absence may have actually contributed to less confusion and more cohesive play. Seems that Alan has some difficulty dealing with change. Remember his less than supportive reaction when Ben was forced into action after Maddox was injured? His resistance to Coach Z's system lead to not a small amount of incoherence last year. Perhaps that's why the FO didn't make a more concerted effort to retain his services. Jury's still out on Coach Z, but he's looking a lot better than he did three months ago.
D-line. Looks like they got it half right. Tomlin said we had to get younger and deeper. We got older and deeper. Smith and Hampton seemed to have overcome their various challenges and returned to form. We can hope that this is the year that Keisel breaks out, and they have four solid, if not spectacular, backups with Roye and Hoke. Hopefully that will be enough.
RBs. Wow! They got this right! Six months ago our top healthy running back was Dookie. Now we're back to the good ol' days when we have two spectacular backs, supplemented by three very solid backs, and we are once again capable of grinding out yardage on the ground without having to be dependent upon the passing game.
LBs. Hahahahahahahahahahahaha!!!!!!!! Any questions?
Receivers. Hines, Heath and 'Ton. We're good. Anything that Nate, Matt, Limas and Sam can contribute is appreciated.
QBs. Best qb situation ever.
DBs. If Troy and Ryan hold up health wise, we're golden.
The Division. Ravens. Starting the rookie at qb. Unless he's the next incarnation of Ben, this is a good thing. Their dbs probably still having nightmares of Hines knocking them loopy. Seriously, without a strong offense to keep pace they may have problems. Rumors that Chris Simms may end up there. Wouldn't be a bad move. Bengals. Marvin Lewis gets my vote for Coach of the Year if he can make chicken salad out the chicken sh*t in Queen City. More likely he may lose his job (or his mind) as a result of dysfunctional front office and team culture. These two teams open the season against each other. To be on the safe side we can hope the ground opens up and swallows them both. Browns. Made this prediction months ago and am sticking with it; the first two games are critical to their season. There will be no Cinderella stories in the AFC North this season. Fall two games behind and it will be Hell trying to make that lost ground up. (This is for you kwoog) if you lose to Dallas, than that second game with Pittsburgh becomes a playoff game.
Most Important Game On Our Schedule. Houston. This not coachspeak paranoia. There are two reasons to be very concerned about this opponent. With the schedule we are facing, it is vital that we win every single game that we are supposed to win. Losing toss up games to teams like the Chargers or Pats won't kill us, losing to the Texans will. Second, Houston smells like the kind of bottom feeder to playoff team that seems to pop up every year. Don't be surprised if this game is closer and more hard fought than expected. Third, what I said about the Browns can just as easily be applied to Pittsburgh if they lose against the Texans and Cleveland wins, that second game then becomes almost a playoff game. The difference is that a franchise with a recent winning pedigree is better suited to withstand and overcome that level of adversity than one that may still harbor doubts as to its ability to prevail. But my position is lets not go there.
I believe the chances of going deep into the playoffs, perhaps all the way are excellent. Why? I would argue that of the teams that made the playoffs last year from the AFC Pittsburgh has improved the most. Looking at our schedule based upon more recent developments teams like the Pats, Giants and Colts look less formidable, particularly given the fact that NY and IND have to come to Heinz. The Chargers don't play as well when they have to fly east. Dallas is the best team to have not won a playoff game in over a decade (sorry Terry). I'm most fearful of Jacksonville, but now they are dealing with their own Shawn Taylor type situation, and it is not clear how they will react as a team. This has the makings of a very exciting season.
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13 comments
Comments
Didn't know
about the Mahan trade when I posted this. I guess everyone really got their wish.
by RickVa on Sep 2, 2008 8:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
its a great post RickVa
My thoughts on yours to come. Dinner first. Lots to chew on though in this post of yours.
by Blitzburgh on Sep 2, 2008 8:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hope to god
it wasn’t a chicken salad sandwich, Blitz.
by betelgeuse on Sep 3, 2008 1:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great post
Just to throw it out there. Jon Ryan got cut from Green Bay. He is punter that has a strong leg and could be an upgrade over Berger. I know some people aren’t worried about punter (and both O&D lines are worrisome) but a punter is like a 12th man on defense. A good punter puts the defense in good position. If you have a guy who shanks punts like Ernster and maybe Berger it does hurt the team a little. But nice post!
by steelcitykid on Sep 2, 2008 9:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Berger
I think he does a fine job.
He has stayed very consistent thus far. With Ernster it was a 50+ yard bomb or a 25 yard shank. That’s why he is still looking for a job.
Let’s not forget Berger has had Pro-Bowl seasons. We aren’t looking for a long term solution anyways, we have an outstanding young punter who just caught some bad luck with an injury. Berger will be fine this year.
by iBleedBlack&Gold on Sep 2, 2008 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great Post
I think something else that is really interesting is how low it seems like we are flying under the radar. All you hear about is how the Jags or Chargers will finally break through this year. I think the Colts demise is being greatly exaggerated – and the Browns are even a primetime team. I like were we are at just fine. Just doing our thing, putting in the work, and getting ready to hit some people in the mouth. I can’t wait for kickoff Thursday night!!!
by smashmouthsteel on Sep 2, 2008 9:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The last season we were this low key....
Was the year we won a Super Bowl.
We looked mediocre during the season, barely squeeking into the playoffs. And we were the underdog in every game yet we went on to defeat “better” teams in just about every game in those playoffs.
by iBleedBlack&Gold on Sep 2, 2008 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bravo!
Man! I agree with everything in your post. Good work! You are absolutely right about the Texicans. They are not to be taken lightly. It is important for the Steelers to really take that ’Killer" Take No Prisoners approach this season. Attack…Attack….Attack…. on both sides of the ball for 60 minuetes every game. Nothing less!!!!
by steelersrock08 on Sep 2, 2008 10:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Just to chime in, in all honesty I wouldn’t panic with a 2-2 start for our guys (even if it just means beating the Ravens and Bengals in weeks 3 and 4).
I don’t agree with all this “9 wins will take the division” talk, or “there’s no way a wild card comes out of the AFC North.” I think the NFC East is dramatically overrated, and strength of schedule in general varies wildly year to year. I think there’s a good chance both the Steelers and Browns have double digit wins again, if only b/c of the talent on each team.
by kwoog on Sep 2, 2008 10:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
could be on to something kwoog
NFC East may be competitive, real competitive, but that doesnt mean the teams are incredible. I don’t think 9 wins necessarily is enough and I do think its possible a WC comes out of North. Certainly not one coming out of the West and the South may beat up on each other like the NFC East.
by Blitzburgh on Sep 3, 2008 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Steeler additions
Great points all around Rick. The one I see that I hadn’t really thought about is the fact that the Steelers might well be the most improved in the offseason.
I know that all national pundits will talk about Alan leaving decimating our already weak line, but as has been pointed out time and again here, Big Red looked like a shadow of his former self last year. I’ll take Kemo for his attitude alone in some ways.
Our defense should be much improved but is still shallow on depth so we’ll be really dependent on the luck of the draw with the injury bug. But if we stay moderately healthy in key spots we could be looking at an improved defense over the best statistical defense from last year.
Ben’s got more weapons then ever. And he’s only getting better himself.
Truth is I don’t follow other teams like i do the steelers so it could be they’ve added just as much. And I’ll give the Browns the benefit of the doubt that they did everything they could to address their problems (except in the secondary which remains weak). But the Pats and Colts seem to be declining (if only slightly) with injuries to both QBs. Either one of those QBs goes down for a significant amount of time and those teams lose games. Lefty and Dix might not be Big Ben, but the Steelers identity as a running team should give our backups chances to win without Ben. The Jags are scary as Hell and I will talk no smack till we win a game against them. For some reason the Chargers just never quite scare me. They have plenty of talent but with Merriman possibly having his leg fall off and Gates coming back from an injury really slowly and LT coming back from injury for the first time ever, I don’t think Rivers can carry this team.
by Chicago Steeler on Sep 3, 2008 12:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Good stuff...
…but the o-line has still looked a little shaky to me this preseason. There are the miscues between Hartwig and Ben and there seemed to be quite a few hurries/sacks. I’m hoping that this is just the unit settling down together and that we’ll see full cohesion in the reg season….
by SCSteeler on Sep 7, 2008 7:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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