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Updated NFL Super Bowl Odds

As we count down the days and hours until the Pittsburgh Steelers return to action on Monday night against the Denver Broncos, here are some fun updated odds out of Las Vegas.

Odds To Win 2009 Super Bowl
Team Odds
New Orleans Saints 3/1
Indianapolis Colts 5/1
New England Patriots 11/2
Minnesota Vikings 8/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 10/1
Baltimore Ravens 13/1
Philadelphia Eagles 14/1
Dallas Cowboys 18/1
New York Giants 18/1
Denver Broncos 22/1
San Diego Chargers 22/1
Cincinnati Bengals 25/1
Arizona Cardinals 35/1
Chicago Bears 35/1
Green Bay Packers 35/1
Houston Texans 35/1
Atlanta Falcons
40/1
Miami Dolphins 60/1
New York Jets 60/1
San Francisco 49ers 65/1
Carolina Panthers 150/1
Jacksonville Jaguars
200/1
Seattle Seahawks 200/1
Buffalo Bills 400/1
Tennessee Titans 400/1
Washington Redskins 500/1
Oakland Raiders 750/1
Cleveland Browns 1000/1
Detroit Lions 1000/1
Kansas City Chiefs 1000/1
St. Louis Rams 1000/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1000/1

 

Just a few thoughts from me.

  • Pittsburgh is actually a pretty solid bet at 10:1 if you ask me. In my mind, there chances are just as good as any team in front of them, besides perhaps Indianapolis.
  • Yes New Orleans' road might be a bit easier because they're in the NFC, but there's plenty of teams in that conference that are more than capable of taking down New Orleans in a winner-takes-all battle in January. Philadelphia, Minnesota and even Dallas come to mind.
  • I find it fairly interesting that Vegas - and subsequently the public - feels Baltimore is still legit contenders despite losing three of their past four. I don't disagree necessarily, but I also don't think a home win against a Denver team that's not well equipped to punish the Ravens with the vertical passing game is all that impressive. Let's see how they look when they take on Cincy and Pittsburgh - both of which are teams plenty capable of stretching the field.
  • Pretty comical that the Bills are getting the same odds as the Titans, despite having two more wins than them.
  • If I had to place a super long shot bet, I'd probably do so on Carolina - but after they lose this coming weekend at New Orleans. Their odds might then drop to something like 175 or 200 to 1, but they might not be out of it considering how the Giants are reeling, how no team in the NFC West looks formidable at all outside of Arizona, and how they might be able to catch the Falcons, Bears and Packers if they got hot and eeked out 9 or 10 wins and got some help from those inconsistent teams.
  • Interesting also that Minnesota is favored over Pittsburgh despite their recent head-to-head showdown.

Anyway, just a little fun as Week 9 approaches. More on the Broncos game coming soon.

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Indy?

I’m not at all a believer in Indy. They haven’t even played anyone, let alone posted an impressive win. It’s a Peyton/Wayne show and somebody in the playoffs will take that away. Their defense looks really good, but any solid defense would look good with their schedule.

That team isn’t built for playoff wins, and Peyton is the most consistent QB I’ve ever seen. He doesn’t drop off very far, but he doesn’t step up his game either. He is what you see. The only way they make the Super Bowl is if other teams have crazy bad luck with injuries.

by Phantaskippy on Nov 6, 2009 1:22 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

hmm

Dunno about that. They’ve handled convincingly just about everybody on their schedule so far. Struggled a bit with Miami and a smidge with San Francisco, but bottom line is they have the best quarterback in the league who’s pretty much playing perfect football. And they can stop the pass. That’s a money formula for success in today’s NFL.

Also, I would say they’re a bit more than just Peyton and Wayne. Dallas Clark is pretty remarkable for his size and position. I think we can beat that team if the pass rush is having an on day, but there’s no doubt in my mind that they’re the most consistent and difficult team in the league to beat, solely because of the fact that their QB is better than everybody else’s. Time for me to go throw up.

Freel free to email me anytime at behindthesteelcurtain@gmail.com with questions, suggestions, complaints, etc, or to just say what's up. -Michael Bean (Blitz)

by Blitzburgh on Nov 6, 2009 1:37 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think you are confusing Peyton Manning

with Drew Brees.

Other than that I have a huge anti-Indy bias so I can’t say for sure, but I don’t think they are any better than they have been in the past, certainly not up to their Super Bowl year.

by Phantaskippy on Nov 6, 2009 3:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

well

Peyton’s on pace to break 5,000 yards and threaten Dan Marino’s record. He’s also led a number of late comebacks, he’s extremely difficult to game plan for because he does so much at the line of scrimmage, he’s on pace for 35 TDs and fewer than 10 INTs, he doesn’t get sacked much despite not playing behind the greatest offensive line in the world. I hate Manning and I love Brees, but not even I could argue he’s as polished as Manning. Anyway, I’m not going to sit here and defend the Colts all day. Freakin’ hate them as much as any team in sports, but I am concerned about them this particular year given what our defense looks like at the time being. I think we can evolve in to a team capable of beating them, even on the road in the playoffs, but as of now, I’m not ready to make the claim that they’re nothing to be worried about.

As for your point that they’re no different, well look at the performance of their defense, particularly against the run. They’re much more physical than they used to be. Still not an elite defense, but much much better. And that’s the biggest difference. And finally, I’d say Manning’s better than he was. Sickens me to say it because I’d like to believe he’s a choker ad not clutch, but that doesn’t really apply anymore.

Freel free to email me anytime at behindthesteelcurtain@gmail.com with questions, suggestions, complaints, etc, or to just say what's up. -Michael Bean (Blitz)

by Blitzburgh on Nov 6, 2009 4:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Upcoming schedule for Indy.

Houston
Baltimore
New England
Houston

Not elite opponents, but enough to expose the Colts if I’m right about them. If they can win 3 of those four then I’ll wait for them to choke in the playoffs. The run game is average, the defense is solid but not great. Manning is going to have to win every game for them, and I don’t think he can do it. Your defense or ST or run game have to bail you out one game every playoff run.

by Phantaskippy on Nov 6, 2009 10:07 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Indy, like Denver, always comes out hot

I mean every year they start out a bunch and 0 and then fall apart towards the end and lose in the playoffs. Its like you can set your watch to it.

Same with Denver only they usually dont even MAKE the playoffs.

by Mechem on Nov 6, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think you are confusing both of those guys

With Ben Roethlisberger. You know, the two time SB champion. The guy with an amzaing YPA. The best QB in the 4th quarter…. I could go on but it’s summed up in two words…. THE BEST.

by zeke5123 on Nov 8, 2009 11:51 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

benny is doing i think the best hes ever done so far in the nfl because after that lawsuit he is having to prove himself and benny does good when he is doubted and the way he is playing is like a champion at this point in time. GOD bless the steelers!

"That’s been our story all year. We’ve got a team that doesn’t blink in the face of adversity. It’s never going to be pretty or perfect, if you will, but they’ve got a great deal of belief in one another. They’ve got a great deal of resolve, and it was put on display. Our defense gets a lot of recognition for what they’re capable of, and rightfully so, but what you saw from our quarterback and our offense at the end of that football game is what they’ve provided for us all year. When we’ve needed it the most, they’ve done it and done it big. That’s a rerun for us."
Mike Tomlin, before superbowl 43

by steelcity7612 on Nov 11, 2009 9:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Indy looking good because of their schedule

I agree, Indy hasn’t played anyone yet and from the looks of their schedule, really only play a couple of ‘tough’ games Ravens, Pats and perhaps Broncos. Other than it is pretty smooth sailing for them, again. They have a fair chance of being undefeated come the playoffs, but I see them as their old selves, one and done in the playoffs.

I mean, comeon their opponents they have beat are a combined what 17-32

by Timberhick on Nov 6, 2009 9:42 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Indy is hurting

They just put a few more on injured reserve, including Bob Sanders

by gsiegel on Nov 7, 2009 3:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of the Ravens

Joe Flacco is on the Google opening search page. Today Friday the 6th of Nov.

"A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty." - Winston Churchill

by PixburghArn on Nov 6, 2009 9:39 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

anyone recall

what the odds were about this time last year?

by vherub on Nov 6, 2009 10:34 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'd throw some ducats on us...

Man I just love how the Saints can be 3 to 1 when they havent really done crap yet. Havent won a playoff game in idk how long…

And likewise with Indy, their fearless leader has a losing playoff record.

Britfarr just lost to us yet is higher… continue his knob polishing media, we know you love him. Hes like a kid out there. Gunslinger. Schism.

I’m honestly tempted to toss a crisp franklin on our season just knowing theres possibly 1000 bucks down the line for the defending champs is pretty rad. I typically dont bet on football, especially not my team, but come on….

by Mechem on Nov 6, 2009 12:56 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Odds are very fluid and reflect the outcome on a weekly basis. A few upsets and the list looks different every monday. I agree with Blitz about Indy. Peyton is the kind of QB that can shred the Steeler’s secondary when we are playing prevent defense. One mistake by an inexperienced db usually means a TD against Manning. The difference this year is that their defense is better than other years. At this point, I would switch Indy and NO on that list.

by qwikdoc on Nov 6, 2009 1:27 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

The Saints deserve to be top ranked.

They look the strongest team I’ve seen so far this season. They’ve got an awful lot of weapons. The Colts and Pats are also very good. Of course, I still think the Steelers are the best when crunch-time comes.

by Billy52 on Nov 6, 2009 4:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Obviously I agree with you about the Steelers, but my money is on Indy over NO

by qwikdoc on Nov 6, 2009 5:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Why I don't pick Indy

They just suffered some key injuries on defense. They’re gonna be mighty thin on D for most of the rest of this season.

by Billy52 on Nov 7, 2009 8:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i just have a feeling that it isn’t the colts year this year, sorry to disappoint the indianopolis fans but idt this season is there season for a SB

"That’s been our story all year. We’ve got a team that doesn’t blink in the face of adversity. It’s never going to be pretty or perfect, if you will, but they’ve got a great deal of belief in one another. They’ve got a great deal of resolve, and it was put on display. Our defense gets a lot of recognition for what they’re capable of, and rightfully so, but what you saw from our quarterback and our offense at the end of that football game is what they’ve provided for us all year. When we’ve needed it the most, they’ve done it and done it big. That’s a rerun for us."
Mike Tomlin, before superbowl 43

by steelcity7612 on Nov 11, 2009 9:56 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

yeah they are doing good but your right when it comes down to crunch time pittsburgh well lets just say pitt does good under pressure…THANK GOD FOR THAT! Because thats what has won superbowls

"That’s been our story all year. We’ve got a team that doesn’t blink in the face of adversity. It’s never going to be pretty or perfect, if you will, but they’ve got a great deal of belief in one another. They’ve got a great deal of resolve, and it was put on display. Our defense gets a lot of recognition for what they’re capable of, and rightfully so, but what you saw from our quarterback and our offense at the end of that football game is what they’ve provided for us all year. When we’ve needed it the most, they’ve done it and done it big. That’s a rerun for us."
Mike Tomlin, before superbowl 43

by steelcity7612 on Nov 11, 2009 9:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Browns suck

by Fred D on Nov 6, 2009 5:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

No argument there.

by Mechem on Nov 6, 2009 5:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My Mike Tomlin "Yes We Can!" t-shirt is tanned, tested, and ready

Fortunately and unfortunately (yes it is a paradox), I am on my 20th year in a place where I can sometimes wear t-shirts in Dec., Jan, and Feb.. My Iberville Parish truck-stop-casino odds are hereby set at 2/1 for the champs. Our Black and Gold trumps these folks Black and Gold. Steelers will defeat the Saints in XLIV!

"Never mistake motion for action." - Ernest Hemingway

by SubLime on Nov 6, 2009 7:52 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

im loving this:) GO PITT

"That’s been our story all year. We’ve got a team that doesn’t blink in the face of adversity. It’s never going to be pretty or perfect, if you will, but they’ve got a great deal of belief in one another. They’ve got a great deal of resolve, and it was put on display. Our defense gets a lot of recognition for what they’re capable of, and rightfully so, but what you saw from our quarterback and our offense at the end of that football game is what they’ve provided for us all year. When we’ve needed it the most, they’ve done it and done it big. That’s a rerun for us."
Mike Tomlin, before superbowl 43

by steelcity7612 on Nov 11, 2009 9:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Taperiots

The way they are sneaking up wins against their opponents they look good to win the SB. The D is improving, too.

by Han on Nov 8, 2009 5:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Prescient tennis

Bengals beat the Ravens. Carolina loses at New Orleans, but looked good for most of the game. Etc.

Pitt at 10:1 odds is a solid bet…

You ain't hurt.

by Peter Bean on Nov 9, 2009 12:21 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

o

i’m not sure iof i agree with all of that ravens are one behind us…come on?!?!?! cowboys ahead of broncos i thibnk we all know how the cowboys play in the cold they don’t have a chance ( don’t want to jinx anything) but the odds of them going to sb and winning is insane some teams deserve more credit! the saints number 1 on here sure they are good right now burt we need to look at past seasons too!

"That’s been our story all year. We’ve got a team that doesn’t blink in the face of adversity. It’s never going to be pretty or perfect, if you will, but they’ve got a great deal of belief in one another. They’ve got a great deal of resolve, and it was put on display. Our defense gets a lot of recognition for what they’re capable of, and rightfully so, but what you saw from our quarterback and our offense at the end of that football game is what they’ve provided for us all year. When we’ve needed it the most, they’ve done it and done it big. That’s a rerun for us."
Mike Tomlin, before superbowl 43

by steelcity7612 on Nov 11, 2009 9:53 AM EST reply actions   0 recs


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