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In Depth: 4th Quarter Defense

Alright, we all knowthe defense has been bad in the fourth quarter. But just how bad has it been? It might be painful, but let's take a look at the Steelers' fourth quarter defense this year. In compiling the following stats, I defined a fourth quarter posession as any posession where our defense was on the field for a first down. So I included any drive that carried over from the 3rd quarter, as long as the other team picked up a first down during the 4th quarter. This also means that the "Scoring %" doesn't count special teams touchdowns (such as Minnesota's return TD). I wanted this to be a look at the defense purely. I also included OT drives in the games that went to OT.

Opponent         (Week)      4th Quarter Possessions               TDs, FGs            Scoring %

Green Bay         (15)                          3                                      3, 0                      100
Cleveland           (14)                          3                                      0, 0                        0
Oakland             (13)                         3                                       3, 0                      100
Baltimore           (12)                         6                                       0, 2                       33
Kansas City       (11)                         4                                       1, 1                       50
Cincinnati          (10)                          2                                       0, 2                      100
*Denver               (9)                          4                                       0, 0                        0
*Minnesota         (7)                           3                                      0, 0                        0
*Cleveland          (6)                           2                                       0, 0                         0
Detroit                (5)                           3                                       1, 0                        33
San Diego           (4)                           3                                       2, 0                        66
Cincinnati           (3)                           2                                        2, 0                      100
Chicago             (2)                            2                                        1, 1                      100
Tennessee         (1)                           3                                         0, 1                        33

A few things stand out right off the bat. There have been an astounding FIVE games this year in which the opposing team scored 100% of the time they touched the ball in the 4th quarter. The only thing that might be more unbeleivable is that we won one of those games (Green Bay).

Another thing that jumps out is Troy's absence. Any game in which #43 played in the fourth quarter is marked with an asteric (I'm about 95% sure on these. Anyone want to double check?). You'll notice that in every single one, the scoring percentage was 0%. I've been reluctant to admit that missing Troy is the difference this year, but it's hard to argue with the facts. I mean, you don't even have to look up what weeks he played, you can just look at the stats its pretty clear when he played and when he didn't. It makes you wonder how many games we would have won last year without Troy. Just think about how many close games we were involved in (AFC Championship anyone?). If Troy really makes such an impact late in the game, he very well could be the difference between a Super Bowl winning team, and a 7-7 team that probably won't make the playoffs.

Also, a couple of things with this year's Steelers help to make this problem even worse. Clearly this is a defensive problem, but some of our offensive weaknesses just make things even worse.The offense plays very inconsistently and leaves a ton of points on the board during the first three quarters, settling for field goals instead of touchdowns way too often. Games end up being much closer than they should be at the end of the thrid quarter, setting things up for a dramatic collopse. Furthermore, the lack of a consistent running game means that the Steelers can't run huge chunks of time off the clock in the fourth quarter even if they do have a big lead. Football is a team sport, and this is just another example of that.

 

 

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P.S.

This is my first fanpost, so any formatting suggestions, style suggestions, content suggestions, etc… from more experienced users would be appreciated

Pound the rock

by syracusepittfan on Dec 21, 2009 12:41 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Welcome to BTSC

Good informational post. Thanks for contributing.

"We just have to play better as a whole team." James Harrison

by LongTimeSteelersFan on Dec 21, 2009 12:51 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Welcome

And thanks for the info. Well done.

Bring a towel to the game. Black or gold or yellow. If you don't have one buy one, If you can't buy one, dye one!

Xbox Live Gamertag- Alf Ardanyu

by SoCalSteelerFan on Dec 21, 2009 1:18 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I agree with you about Troy

Earlier this season, I suggested that Troy was our team MVP in light of the fact that our defense has crumbled without him. I got pushback from others pointing to the D’s still stellar yardage stats. I don’t see any of those people defending the defense now.

Obviously, a guy who doesn’t play doesn’t deserve an MVP award. And, obviously, this year’s Steelers D is missing Bryant McFadden, Aaron Smith and Larry Foote. I’d love to have those guys back now. But your impressive table here shows how much of a difference Troy makes.

It also gives me more hope about our next game.

by TURFgeek on Dec 21, 2009 1:47 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Last time Aaron Smith

was out for several games the D was terrible as well.

by steelerstyle on Dec 21, 2009 6:31 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good Post

Informative with opinions makes for a good post instead of just opinions.

by ToonaSteel on Dec 21, 2009 3:39 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Agree with SteelersStyle

Aaron Smith is also very important to the Steelers D. The combo of him and 43 being out is nearly insurmountable.

by lloyd95 on Dec 21, 2009 7:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Saw James Harrison

On a milk carton today…

by lloyd95 on Dec 21, 2009 7:48 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

perhaps the best 1st post I've seen

It would be interesting to see how this quarter compares to others. I suspect that it would reinforce what we already know…

by HereWeGo on Dec 21, 2009 9:38 AM EST reply actions   0 recs


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