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Why Are The Bears Considered An Elite Defensive Team?

It's interesting how teams in professional sports - and in the National Football League in particular - get branded in certain ways. Often times these labels stick with teams years longer than they perhaps should. The Pittsburgh Steelers, for example, are still thought of as a smash-mouth, physical running team even though they haven't fared well on the ground for most of the past 20 games or so. Another example is how the Chicago Bears are still thought of as an elite, physical defense because of some of their success earlier this decade. The Bears aren't really an elite defense anymore in my opinion and haven't been for two years running.

Let's take a closer look.

Star-divide

The last time the Bears defense was outstanding was in 2006, the year they lost to the Indianapolis Colts in the Super Bowl. The year before in 2005, Chicago was lights out on defense and rode their opportunistic ball hawking defense all the way to the #2 seed in the NFC and a home playoff game at Soldier Field that they would lose to the Carolina Panthers. Let's start though with the 2006 defense though. Here are some of their numbers from that year - the season they made it all the way to the Super Bowl before falling to the Colts (league rank in parentheses).

2006

Yards/G: 294.1 (5th)
Points: 15.9 (3rd)
Rushing Yards/G: 99.38 (6th)
Passing Yards194.7 (11th)
Turnovers: 44 (1st)
Sacks: 40 (8th)
DVOA2nd (Pass Defense = 1st; Rush = 6th)
Top Ten Tackle Leaders: Lance Briggs, Brian Urlacher, Charles Tillman, Danieal Manning, Ricky Manning, Chris Harris, Alex Brown, Hunter Hillenmeyer, Adewale Ugonleye, Nathan Vashar

The Bears were also good in 2005, but let's face it - four years ago means very little in the salary cap era of the NFL. I know us Steelers fans don't necessarily think of our team in 2005 as particularly similar to the squad we're watching in 2009. Anyway, the Bears were outstanding in 2005 on defense and combined with their solid play on that side of the ball in 2006, they earned the reputation as being one of the more physical and punishing defenses in the league.

Miscellaneous: The Bears started the 2006 season much like the 2008 Steelers did on defense. They were outstanding, holding their first 10 opponents under 300 yards. They pitched two shutouts in those first ten games and averaged only 12 points per game on defense while jumping out to a 9-1 record to start the year. They had three guys force at least four fumbles that year and eight defenders with two or more interceptions. By contrast, the Steelers only had one guy force more than four fumbles last year - Defensive Player of the Year James Harrison with seven. They also only had four players notch multiple picks. If you look at their roster from that year, you'll also notice that all of their top defenders were in their prime physical years - age 25-29 - with a number of other young key contributors like Tommie Harris being worked in during the early years of their career.

Let's see how they've fared the last two years though to see if they're deserving of still being thought of as one of the league's better units.

2007

Yards/G: 354.6 (28th)
Points: 21.75 (16th)
Rushing Yards/G: 122.9 (24th)
Passing Yards231.7 (27th)
Turnovers: 33 (8th)
Sacks: 41 (6th)
DVOA: 8th (Pass = 14th; Rush = 4th)
Top Ten Tackle Leaders: Brian Urlacher, Lance Briggs, Danieal Manning, Charles Tillman, Hunter Hillenmeyer, Brandon McGowan, Adewale Ugonleye, Adam Archuleta, Alex Brown, Ricky Manning

Miscellaneous: This is the year we really start to see the Bears defense decline. Chicago only held their opponent to under 300 yards of total offense on four occasions that season - once against the hapless Raiders and another against the rebuilding Chiefs running a Herm Edwards offense. They gave up 30+ points four times and likely would have finished even worse than 7-9 had they not sacked the quarterback and forced as many turnovers as they did. Adewale Ugonleye was particularly productive at 30 years of age for Chicago. He forced 6 fumbles, recovered three more, and had 9 sacks - tops on the squad that year. Ugonleye is now 32 years of age and not as explosive at the point of attack as he once was despite making his first Pro Bowl appearance last year (he should have made it the year before, not last season). It's also worth noting that 2007 was the first year of Bob Babich regime at defensive coordinator. I'm not sure of why, but former coordinator Ron Rivera was not retained by Lovie Smith following Chicago's run to the Super Bowl in 2006. Rivera had previously been in charge of the Bears defense since 2004 and had improved dramatically during his tenure there. Babich meanwhile got his first NFL gig with the Rams in 2003 when he was named their linebackers coach.  Before being promoted to defensive coordinator prior to the 2007 season, Babich had never been a defensive coordinator at any level and had held only one job higher than a linebackers coach in his entire career - the head coaching gig at North Dakota State. Coaching matters - we know that having been blessed to watch Dick LeBeau for so many years. I don't think Babich is up to snuff and I'm frankly shocked he wasn't canned after last season.

2008

Yards/G: 334.6 (21st)
Points: 21.8 (16th)
Rushing Yards/G: 93.5 (5th)
Passing Yards241.1 (30th)
Turnovers: 32 (2nd)
Sacks: 28 (23rd)
DVOA: 7th (Pass = 10th; Rush = 5th)
Top Ten Tackle Leaders: Lance Briggs, Charles Tillman, Brian Urlacher, Kenny Payne, Corey Graham, Mike Brown, Adewale Ugonleye, Alex Brown, Tommie Harris, Nick Roach

Miscellaneous: The Bears really didn't have more than one or two impressive showings on defense last year. If you look at their schedule from 2008, you'll notice they only held their opponent under 10 points on two ocassions. One of them was against the lowly Lions. The other against the equally sad St. Louis Rams. They also played fairly well against the Carolina Panthers in Week 2 and against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 14. Those four games constitute the only contests that they were able to hold their opponents under 300 yards of total offense. By contrast, the Pittsburgh Steelers only surrendered more than 300 yards just once in 2008 and only 6 times in 2007, four of which came in the final four weeks of the season after injuries had more than taken their toll on Pittsburgh's defense. Chicago also gave up 27 or more points five times last year, including 41 to Minnesota in Week 7 at Soldier Field. Finally, Chicago was able to remain competitive last year due to the fact that they still forced a healthy number of turnovers. In fact, they forced at least one turnover in every game last year. That's fairly impressive. It's worth nothing though that nine of their 32 turnovers - or roughly 28 percent - came in two of their 16 games. They actually lost both games. In other words, I see a team that was extraordinarily vulnerable against the pass manage to pad their turnover stats and consequently hang tough in a number of close games despite not having a very dominating defense whatsoever. The fact that they registered the 23rd fewest sacks despite seeing more passing attempts than any other defense also speaks volumes about their inability to control games with their defense like they once could.

Finally, I mentioned earlier that the Bears defense was largely in the peak window on the defensive side of the ball in 2006. By 2008, the Bears roster on defense featured three starters over the age of 30. Perhaps more importantly though - because after all, the Steelers defense has its fair share of veterans - the Bears no longer were receiving such substantial contributions from their younger defensive players as they had in years past. IN 2007, the Bears drafted Greg Olson - a tight end out of Miami - in the first round and Dan Bazuin -  a defensive end from Central Michigan in the 2nd. Bazuin never made it on to the field for the Bears. The Bears 3rd and 4th Round picks were also on the offensive side of the ball.

The next year, the Bears drafted an offensive tackle in the first round, yet another running back in the second, a wide receiver with their first 3rd round pick before finally selecting Marcus Harrison with their other 3rd round selection. Harrison looked pretty good last year but the bottom line is that's not much attention paid to the defense for several years in a row.   In an attempt to shore up their defense after several years of not retooling its personnel, Chicago finally paid more attention to that side of the ball in this past April's Drat. Five of the Bears first seven picks were on defense. Smart move if you ask me, particularly because they seem to have a running back for the future in Matt Forte, a quarterback in Jay Cutler and an above average offensive line that gave up a respectable number of sacks last year (29) considering how bad their quarterback play was, not to mention how often they had to throw the ball due to the poor play from the defense.

Though they lost, for a game the Bears defense looked good this past Sunday night. They stymied Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense for most of the evening. Green Bay had just 224 yards of offense, 72 of which came on their final drive of the game. Though I think Pittsburgh will have a few opportunities to run the ball after softening the Bears defense through the air, I'd still say I'm not holding my breath hoping that the running game will somehow materialize this Sunday, even though I'm no believer in Chicago's defense generally speaking. The Bears limited Green Bay's rushing game to just 76 yards on 22 carries. They should be just fine against the run even without Urlacher.

That's enough for now and I apologize for the lack of any real coherency with that post but I wanted to try to take a little bit closer look at the Bears defense the past several years to see really if they're as worthy of the frequent praise they get for their play on defense. My take? They've neither been terrible nor great, but in the past two years, I'd put them closer to poor if not for an opportunistic defense that has a knack for turning the ball over.

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Interesting ...

perspective; it is an excellent example and extension of the “Halo Effect.”

by tenthmtnman on Sep 15, 2009 7:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think the Bears managed to stay almost totally healthy in their Super Bowl year, and then have had some injuries in the two subsequent seasons.

If I have some time to kill at work later I’ll try to look up those numbers because I could be wrong but that’s how I remember it.

Anyway, I agree with your main point. Last two years they have not been in the same league as us, the NYG, and BAL.

by Steelers in XLIV on Sep 15, 2009 7:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

They were healthy till the Super Bowl, then they lost in part because of health.

by Phantaskippy on Sep 16, 2009 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Linebackers, Tommy Harris & Mike Brown....

… were really the strength of those ‘05 & ’06 defenses. Since then, Harris, Brown & Urlacher have been playing hurt or not playing. Hillenmeyer, Briggs & Urlacher were just an amazing unit for a while. Briggs is the only one whose play has not slipped since then, although he has probably lost a step or two. Harris is supposedly healthy again, although he didn’t show much on Sunday. Brown is gone (KC, I think).

The Bears are going to be really thin at LB this Sunday. It sounds like Piso Tinoisamoa will probably not play (strained PCL). They signed a guy named Tim Shaw (cut from Jacksonville) yesterday for depth. I really don’t see them going after Derrick Brooks. It looks like we will see Briggs, Hillenemeyer (for BU), and Nick Roach (for PT) on Sunday.

I have to say I never understood the rationale for letting Ron Rivera go. Here’s a guy with a great Bears pedigree who was impressive enough as a DC to get some head coaching interviews, and they just blew him out the door. With Babich not working out, Lovie is now the DC. I think he’s wearing too many hats to be an effective game manager.

Go Steelers – can’t wait to be there on Sunday!

by steelers-chicago on Sep 15, 2009 11:48 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not all about the stats

The Bears bad offense has more than done their share to deflate the statistics of the team’s D. I think what the Bears do as good as anybody is create turnovers. They have a knack for forcing fumbles and scoring on defense and special teams. I have always thought Urlacher has been a bit overrated so I would not expect a drastic decline in their play with his absence. Hillenmeyer played well on Sunday night. The thing that worries me most is Agunleye. He is a beast and will be sacking QBs all season long. Guaranteed he gives us fits.

by TheCommish on Sep 15, 2009 12:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

agreed…pretty much said exactly what I was going to.

I'll drink your Milkshake, I'll drink it up!

by drinkyourmilkshake on Sep 15, 2009 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They were dead last in forcing fumbles last year,

though they had 22 INTs. This is just what Blitz is talking about – their reputation as a ballhawks was forged in 2005-06 and 2006-07, but it hasn’t held up well since.

And as FO has discussed, a big part of their earlier success was an ungodly knack for recovering fumbles, a knack which has promptly disappeared – they’ve been all over the place since, like most teams.

by Desroko on Sep 15, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Again,

that’s different from forcing, turnovers, where they were average. (So was the Steelers D, which should tell you something about the usefulness of this stat.)

They forced only eight fumbles, but recovered ten. They had an unusual number of opponents make unforced fumbles, as well as an unusually high recovery rate. Both of those stats are essentially random and fluctuate wildly from year to year. Turnovers generally have much more to do with the offense that’s giving the ball away than the defense that’s taking it. Any teams that’s counting on fumble recoveries (or even turnovers in general) to take them to victory is betting against the house.

by Desroko on Sep 17, 2009 12:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's just about history

The reason teams gets those kind of reps is usually they had a specific time when they were memorable when, say, the defense was tough and the offense was questionable. Thing is, that sums up the Bears over a lot of their (recent) history.

Since 1970 by my ranking they’ve had one of the bottom overall offenses in the league, but their defense has averaged around 10th. In even looking at their yearly rankings, their offense has almost always been poor, and the few times they’ve had a solid offense they’ve been right up there competing for the championship.

Sometimes teams get those reputations in terms of what’s missing from their game. The history of the Steelers as a rushing team for a lot of modern fans came about, largely, from not having a decent QB between 1980ish and 2004.

by Grumpybutt on Sep 15, 2009 2:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

good analysis

Bottomline: the Bears defense is decent but overrated, resting on earlier gained reputation. Its also true that their weak offenses from the past few years have let their defense stay on the field too long, getting worn out.

All I can say is that I hope the Steelers can get the ground game going against the Bears, at least enough to keep them honest.

by pixburghese on Sep 15, 2009 3:04 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

stats

I didn’t read the whole article, mainly read the breakdown for the 2008 season, but I have to say that your use of stats to prove a point is phenomenal… especially when you talk about the Bears’ turnovers and how a good chunk came in only two games.

by Pola-Gona-Maul-U on Sep 17, 2009 2:12 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs


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