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Maginot Line: Steelers '09 Fourth-Quarter Defense

The Maginot Line: Steelers ’09 Fourth-Quarter Defense Impressively constructed, but all-too-easily penetrated, the Maginot Line, designed to protect France from Nazi Germany, is synonymous with failed, sieve-like defensive schemes. Thus also was the Pittsburgh Steelers Fourth-Quarter Defense of the ’09 season. The Steelers’ secondary proved to be their Ardennes. Whereby the Wehrmacht traversed the seemingly impenetrable forest and France fell quickly in 1940, the back end of the Steelers defense regularly proved to be the Black & Gold’s undoing in 2009.

It remains popular among the denizens of Steeler Nation, with the ’09 season now three weeks in the rear-view mirror, to wring one’s hands and gnash one’s teeth over the Bruce Arians’ offense. But, it was the Steelers’ defense that ceded fourth-quarter leads on a half-dozen occasions in the most recent campaign, losing five of those games, and losing yet another in which they had battled back to knot the score. "Not so fast," say the Defenders of the Defense, noting that the ’08 Super Bowl Champion Pittsburgh Steelers had also, yes, fallen behind six times (Baltimore, at Jacksonville, Giants, Indianapolis, San Diego, Arizona) during the fourth quarter after leading at the final frame’s onset.

Is this a fair comparison? Actually, it’s arguing apples and oranges, chipped ham and fried jumbo, pierogies and raviolis. The ’08 Steelers did, in fact, cede six fourth-quarter leads. The ’09 Steelers though, in comparison to the ’08 Super Bowl Champion edition, betrayed a marked inability in getting off of the field in the fourth quarter. The comparisons of the six fourth-quarter struggles in each season tell the tale, and it’s far more extensive than the Steelers not having the ball last, not being in position to execute their "winning final drive" recipe for ’08 success:

• Excluding those occasions where there were scant seconds remaining (such as the final Cardinals’ possession in Super Bowl XLIII) and kneeldowns from Victory formation, opponents scored on less than half of fourth-quarter possessions (eight of seventeen) in the targeted six games of the ’08 season, registering six touchdowns and a pair of field goals. In ’09 (with the same exclusion on final seconds possessions), the opposing forces cashed in two-thirds of the time in the fourth quarter in games where the Steelers ceded the lead (14 of 21), putting up ten touchdowns and four field goals.

• Opponents gained 44% of their total yardage in the final quarter of the ’09 sample (902 of 2055) while gaining 33% in fourth-quarters of the ’08 six-pack (545 of 1653).

• Opponents scored 53% of their offensive points (83 of 157) in the fourth-quarter of the ’09 games, only 36% (41 of 114) in the ’08 fourth-quarters.

• And perhaps the bottom line, the Steelers lost five of the six games in ’09 where they ceded a fourth-quarter lead. They won four of these six games in ’08.

More highlights (or lowlights) from the respective telltale half-dozens:

• In four of the six ’09 games (at Chicago, at Cincinnati, Oakland, Green Bay), the Steelers’ defense failed to execute a single fourth-quarter stop, surrendering nine touchdowns and one field goal in those fourth-quarters. By comparison, there was only one game in the ’08 sample where the defense couldn’t get off of the field, but the San Diego Chargers’ 17-play, 78-yard drive was the their sole 4th quarter possession (save for the final 11 seconds) and the drive resulted in only three points for the Lightning Bolts. Note as well that in a seventh ’09 game (Cincinnati), lost in the fourth-quarter after the Steelers had tied the score, the defense took the field for a pair of Bengals’ fourth-quarter possessions, promptly permitting substantial drives for a pair of field goals, the final margin of defeat.

• In three consecutive ’09 games (Kansas City, Baltimore, Oakland), the Steelers defense was staked to a lead with less than nine, seven and two minutes respectively remaining, and benefited from penalties on each ensuing kickoff which backed up their opponents to their nine, ten, and twelve-yard lines. They allowed their foe, on these consecutive Sundays, to drive the length of the field for the tying or winning score.

• Conversely, both season’s defensive units were victimized by the Steelers offense setting up the opposition with short fields following turnovers. The Colts and Peyton Manning were required to drive only 32 yards for the winning score after a Roethlisberger interception during the ’08 campaign, and a Dennis Dixon pick in overtime set up the Ravens on this past Thanksgiving Sunday. Additionally, the Packers drove only 39 yards for their go-ahead score this past December following the now-infamous "onside kick." The Giants drove 53 yards to their winning score following the disastrous James Harrison long-snap for a safety in the Steelers’ 08 contest against the defending Super Bowl Champions.

The conclusion one must reach in this instance is that the ’09 Steelers defense failed much more consistently, and flamboyantly, than did their ’08 counterparts. They failed to exit the field, sometimes at all, in the fourth quarter of the sample games, and gave up a higher percentage of the game’s total yardage and total points in the fourth quarter. There were two games in which they surrendered three fourth-quarter touchdowns, one of these onslaughts led by the journeyman Bruce Gradkowski. There were a plethora of instances where one play would have sealed victory for this ’09 unit. The failure, however, to make a tackle on 4th & 10, the inability to exit the field on 3rd & 22, the dropping of an interception placed perfectly between the two and the seven of a defensive back’s jersey number with less than a minute remaining, all eventually spelled defeat.

As stated by the legendary football seer, Bill Parcells, "You are what your record says you are," and the record for the ’09 Steelers is that they managed to win one of only six games where they ceded the lead in the fourth-quarter. The ’08 squad won four of six in that circumstance. Thus the ’08 team was headed for Florida, and the Super Bowl, at this time of year. The ’09 team sits at home and contemplates what might have been.

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Steelers 2009 D

was a HUGE factor in where they finished. I just don’t think it was about the coach. I think from my perspective it was more about players playing past their prime (Ty Carter, DeShea Townsend, James Farrior) and being asked to do things they were incapable of anymore and other players not quite up to previous caliber (Gay, Ziggy) that caused the demise. In other words I don’t think it was the coaching (LeBeau) Getting off the field on 3rd down has been an on going problem for the defense in years past. When the pass rush is outstanding (04. 05, 08) they get off the field enough to win. When it isn’t (02, 06, 07, 09) they don’t.

Issue with the offense was not the players. Guys like Roethlisberger, Ward, Holmes, Miller et al would start on any other NFL team. They put up huge numbers. Issue was the offense disappeared for large segments of a large amount of games and did not play to their potential. IMO it was the scheme on offense as opposed to the players. I think our problem on offense was the coaching philosophy which didn’t help the aging and injured defense at all.

When You Run The Ball Good Things Happen

by 5020 on Jan 23, 2010 10:48 AM EST reply actions  

When you play with a lead, the D can be a bit more relaxed

If the offense could consistently score(75% or more, either TD’s or FG’s), the D could play a version of prevent. Except that didn’t work this year. I know whoever we draft at S this year won’t make an immediate impact, but I would like to get someone faster than Ty Carter, and who has better sense than Mundy.

This D isn’t horrible, #5 in the league? O was 12th (I think)…

"OOH! A piece of candy. OOH! A piece of candy."
-James Woods

by Steel Spike on Jan 23, 2010 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

but...

The defense is great for 3 quarters…

The offense is great when they’re not in the red zone and don’t need to sustain a drive to eat the clock…

if you want to find the failures in the stats they’re there.

Look at 3rd down conversions in the 4th quarter for the offense(can’t find this to verify). Look at opponents 4th down conversion %. That’s an easy to find demoralizing stat.

by Steely McSmash on Jan 23, 2010 2:14 PM EST up reply actions  

That was exactly my point

If the O could score consistently, the D wouldn’t be pressured so much to get the ball back, and could play a little more relaxed. When our O is firing on all 11 cylinders, the D doesn’t have to play balls to the wall. Which takes the pressure off because they aren’t on the field for a long time, since it keeps the opposing offense on the sidelines. Unless it’s a one play TD…

If the D can keep opponents to just FG’s, we will win.

"OOH! A piece of candy. OOH! A piece of candy."
-James Woods

by Steel Spike on Jan 23, 2010 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I more or less agree that the problem on O was scheme and the problem on D was personnel – both in terms of injured starters and players that were incapable of executing their role in the scheme well.

However, I do have one problems with Lebeau this year: He gives offenses too many vanilla looks.

That is, for a guy that is renown for his exotic and unexpected blitzes he tends to play his safeties back, his corners in man underneath with LB’s playing a bit of zone, and rush 4 way too often. This was a problem late in games when QB’s would simply pick apart the secondary without fear of too much pressure. When he brought pressure, he was actually pretty successful in getting to the QB. If you go back and look at the tape of the first Ravens game, they drove down the field twice – mostly because Flacco had tons of time to throw and our DB’s simply couldn’t hold their coverage.

If you’ve got Troy roaming around it’s probably a good idea to play it fairly conservatively; eventually a QB will make a mistake and you’ll be able to take advantage. Without Troy, you’ve got totally reevaluate your game plan. And to me that means taking more chances.

by BluegrassSteeler on Jan 23, 2010 12:29 PM EST up reply actions  

interesting thoughts here

I think you touched on it above when you said that the defensive problem was personnel.

It was the lack of key personnel that affected scheme in my opinion. Without Troy, Lebeau was conservative. WIth him in there they can take risks at the line and he’ll cover up the weaknesses in the backfield.

by Steely McSmash on Jan 23, 2010 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

My thoughts exactly.

"OOH! A piece of candy. OOH! A piece of candy."
-James Woods

by Steel Spike on Jan 23, 2010 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

comparing the Steelers to the french army.

not sure this sits well with me at all….

Maginot line was bypassed BTW not penetrated like a seive

by Steely McSmash on Jan 23, 2010 2:18 PM EST reply actions  

Well, we DID surrender alot this season....

"OOH! A piece of candy. OOH! A piece of candy."
-James Woods

by Steel Spike on Jan 23, 2010 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually…french prepared for nazis to outflank on the belgian border. Other weakness of the maginot was the ardennes, but frenchies erroneously assumed that it was too thickly forested to penetrate. Wrong!! Wehrmact busted threw that hole like bettis through urlacher in 05 and soon france was overrun

by swissvale72 on Jan 23, 2010 3:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

i like the comparative stat breakdown

by t1mmy10 on Jan 24, 2010 6:23 PM EST reply actions  

swissvale72

your articles are getting better. swiss gets a lot of practice over at a hilarious steeler fan site with very little moderation. i.e. no one gets banned but spammers www.stillers-forums.com

hope thats ok we have a blast over there and have referenced easily a 100 articles from this site.

by Hi5Steeler on Jan 25, 2010 4:32 PM EST reply actions  

very interesting

Detailed and meaningful statistics in a coherent piece, swissvale42. I like how you excluded victory formations and pick-6’s and comparing like situations of entering 4th qtr w/lead then losing it. This puts focus on what the D was really doing, so we could compare pierogies to pierogies.

One that jumped out at me was: “Opponents scored 53% of their offensive points (83 of 157) in the fourth-quarter of the ’09 games, only 36% (41 of 114) in the ’08 fourth-quarters.”

Yikes. The fourth quarter number of 53% was shockingly high in ‘09, which covers many crucial end-of-game situations; it would seem that opposition offenses made adjustments while Steelers D apparently didn’t have a counter. But also just look at the overall number: 157 offensive points allowed versus 114, a plain old drop off in overall 60-minute body of work.

Also, “In four of the six ’09 games (at Chicago, at Cincinnati, Oakland, Green Bay), the Steelers’ defense failed to execute a single fourth-quarter stop, surrendering nine touchdowns and one field goal in those fourth-quarters. By comparison, there was only one game in the ’08 sample where the defense couldn’t get off of the field, but the San Diego Chargers’ 17-play, 78-yard drive was the their sole 4th quarter possession (save for the final 11 seconds) and the drive resulted in only three points for the Lightning Bolts.”

Not a single fourth quarter stop? And of those 10 scores, 9 were TDs? Wow. A healthy Troy is great, but he isn’t going to fix all of that, sorry.

by steagle34 on Feb 8, 2010 8:14 PM EST reply actions  

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