Now that we are 11 games through the season, we know even more about the playoff & tie-break scenarios.
The Steelers are guaranteed to make the playoffs if they finish 3-2 or better.
@ 13-3 – the Steelers will win the division but can still be seeded 1 or 2.
@ 12-4 – the Steelers make the playoffs but can be seeded 1, 2, 5, or 6.
@ 11-5 – the Steelers make the playoffs but can be seeded 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6.
@ 10-6 – there are many scenarios left
Miami & Kansas City can knock the Steelers out if either finishes @ 11-5 + doesn't win the division;
No other tie-breaks have been settled @ 10-6 due to the possibility of 3-team or 4-team ties.
A win this week against the Ravens will give us the divisional tie-break if the Steelers beat the Bengals in Week 14 & the Browns in Week 17. If we lose either of these games, the division could go to the Strength of Victory tie-break - which is currently dead even.
There are a few scenarios that will eliminate teams from divisional races and a few that will eliminate teams from the playoffs. The Panthers, Lions, Bills, & Bengals are already eliminated from the playoffs. The Browns are eliminated from the playoffs with a loss and a Steelers/Ravens tie. The Broncos, Cowboys, & Vikings can be eliminated from the playoffs this week.
New Orleans at Cincinnati – Bengals due to Strength of Victory
Jacksonville at Tennessee – Titans due to Jaguars Record; Jaguars have tie-break over the Steelers @ 10-6
Buffalo at Minnesota – Bills due to Strength of Victory
Denver at Kansas City – Broncos due to Chiefs Record + Conference Record
Cleveland at Miami – Browns due to Dolphins Record
Oakland at San Diego – Raiders due to Chargers Record + due to Strength of Victory
Atlanta at Tampa Bay – Falcons due to Strength of Victory against the Ravens
Carolina at Seattle – Panthers due to potential Strength of Victory
Dallas at Indianapolis – Cowboys due to Colts Record
Pittsburgh at Baltimore – No brainer
Games that may matter for Strength of Victory Tie-breaks
Chicago at Detroit
Washington at N.Y. Giants
San Francisco at Green Bay
St. Louis at Arizona