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Around SBN: Which Players Will Join The 3,000-Hit Club?

Heath Miller - BTSC 2010 Community Projections

Just a few hours remain before the Pittsburgh Steelers take the field for their fourth and final preseason game agaginst the Carolina Panthers. Before we turn our attention to that, let's continue with our last-minute community projections for various members of the six-time Super Bowl champs. How about we continue with one of Steeler Nation's absolute favorites - tight end Heath Miller.

At the outset of the 2009 season, Steeler fans were wondering if Heath Miller would finally see the ball more frequently. Through his first four seasons, Miller had never caught more than 48 passes despite being one of the most sure-handed threats on the team. Fans got what they wished for, as Miller saw his reception total increase by nearly 60%.

2009 Season Statistics

76 receptions, 789 yards, 10.4 yards per reception, 6 TDs

 

Things to consider before projecting Miller's 2010 season:

Star-divide

  • No 'Tone Diverting Attention - I think most of us believe that the Steelers' offense can be plenty potent without Santonio Holmes in the fold. But I do think that Miller benefited from defenses having to key in on three different but equally dangerous wide receivers - Hines Ward, Holmes and Mike Wallace. The end result was Miller finding plenty of room to operate, particularly in the flats and after plays had broken down and Roethlisberger was outside the pocket. Will defenses spend more capital trying to shut down Miller this year now that Pittsburgh seemingly has one fewer explosive playmaker at WR? 
  • No Big Ben To Start The Year - This one's obvious, but it's worth mentioning that Roethlisberger and Miller do seem to have a fantastic understanding of one another out there on the field. Specifically, Miller is outstanding at knowing when to slip away from his blocking assignments and leaking out to make himself available after the pocket has broken down and Roethlisberger is in search of somewhere to go with the ball. On the other hand, it's often thought that coordinators look to their tight ends more frequently when a young or backup quarterback is playing.
  • Offensive Line Woes? - We've seen how Miller has been used as an extra blocker in many passing situations in recent years. Almost like an extra tackle that helps chip pass rushers off the edge, often times before releasing at the last moment as I just described. Is the loss of Willie Colon at right tackle going to prompt Sean Kugler and Bruce Arians to use Miller as much or even more in pass protection this year? Flozell Adams looked better last week, but we all know he's better at run blocking than in pass protection, particularly against speed rushers. Might Miller be needed to help out Adams more frequently than we might like to see? 

With those things in mind, here are my 2010 projections for Mr. Miller...

60 receptions, 672 yards, 11.2 YPC, 8 TD

 

Previous 2010 Projections

Poll
Heath Miller - over/under 600 receiving yards in 2010? (career average = 554)
Over
202 votes
Under
33 votes

235 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 13 comments  |  Add comment  |  0 recs  | 

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74 catches, 813 yards 7 TD's

Xbox Live Gamertag - IMIeursault currently MW2 and Madden 11.

If Troy, Harrison and Woodley are on top of their game, that is good for 9 wins right there, regardless of what is going on with their offense. - Mr MaLoR 28/6/10

by Josh Roberts (ESGB) on Sep 2, 2010 4:35 PM EDT reply actions  

p.s. Micheal, I added a poll, hope that’s ok with you :)

Xbox Live Gamertag - IMIeursault currently MW2 and Madden 11.

If Troy, Harrison and Woodley are on top of their game, that is good for 9 wins right there, regardless of what is going on with their offense. - Mr MaLoR 28/6/10

by Josh Roberts (ESGB) on Sep 2, 2010 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Freudian slip?

HEAT Miller? Let’s hope he keeps getting the touches, putting “heat” on defenses, which in-turn opens up lanes for Mendy and Redman. I like your line of thinking, English. :^)

When you work out your biceps, do you want six little ones? No, of course not--you want one big one; I took the same approach with my ab. -- Me

by eric. on Sep 2, 2010 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh shite, it got changed anyway.

Xbox Live Gamertag - IMIeursault currently MW2 and Madden 11.

If Troy, Harrison and Woodley are on top of their game, that is good for 9 wins right there, regardless of what is going on with their offense. - Mr MaLoR 28/6/10

by Josh Roberts (ESGB) on Sep 2, 2010 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

thanks for the poll

just changed it slightly to accommodate the request made by Cols yesterday about having just one option.

Freel free to email me anytime at behindthesteelcurtain@gmail.com with questions, suggestions, complaints, etc, or to just say what's up. -Michael Bean (Blitz)

by Michael Bean on Sep 2, 2010 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

err two choices i mean

Freel free to email me anytime at behindthesteelcurtain@gmail.com with questions, suggestions, complaints, etc, or to just say what's up. -Michael Bean (Blitz)

by Michael Bean on Sep 2, 2010 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

that's cool

It won’t let me vote on this one though, weird

Xbox Live Gamertag - IMIeursault currently MW2 and Madden 11.

If Troy, Harrison and Woodley are on top of their game, that is good for 9 wins right there, regardless of what is going on with their offense. - Mr MaLoR 28/6/10

by Josh Roberts (ESGB) on Sep 2, 2010 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Every DC knows BA hates, HATES screen plays

When the Redman/Mendenhall train gets rolling, opposing LB’s will have to watch for the run, leaving the DB’s all alone running (or trying to run) with Wallace, Brown, Ward, and whoever else. What does that leave? The middle of the field, where HEEEEEEAAAATH loves to go.

Per that, I think he will keep to the status quo, with no drop-off, and maybe a small boost on yardage.

I love the smell of burnt O-line in the morning!

-Me, ripping off Robert Duvall in Apocalypse Now

by Steel Spike on Sep 2, 2010 4:39 PM EDT reply actions  

absolutely over in my opinion

the fact that Holmes is gone also should mean that the development of Heath becoming more of a catching receiver last season should continue. Plus, Spaeth has actually been blocking! shocking I know, but could that mean Heath is allowed to go over the middle more? I would think so.

by Simonsen on Sep 2, 2010 5:23 PM EDT reply actions  

IIf Miller has to chip all year because of Essex and Flozell

I think we are going to see a big decrease in his numbers this year.

I say 55 catchs, 650 yards, 4 TDs

"I'm from Maryland, and no one can beat me!"

by John Stephens on Sep 2, 2010 6:08 PM EDT reply actions  

On another note...

It always kills me to look at highlight photos and see who the guy is scoring against. Anytime someone’s highlight video features the Browns, Bills, Chiefs, etc… as the other team, I take it with a grain of salt.

Scoring on the Lions definitely qualifies. Heath is great, but this photo doesn’t prove it.

by gostevego on Sep 2, 2010 6:11 PM EDT reply actions  

62 catches, 698 yards, (11.3 YPC), 7 TDs, 0 Fumbles

We know what to expect from Heath at this point of his career—consistency. I think his average, as well as TDs remain consistent with his career norms. I believe he has become a reliable asset to BB that will be seen again if/when the pocket collapses, if the young WRs don’t step-up big very soon, and if/when Hines falls off. Heath will remain the go-to, check down receiver BB needs, keeping his catches and total yards above his career norms while taking a slight dip from last year’s numbers for many of the reasons Michael pointed out.

Heath has three fumbles on his career; two coming in 2009. I think he’ll make sure he does not repeat those numbers in 2010.

When you work out your biceps, do you want six little ones? No, of course not--you want one big one; I took the same approach with my ab. -- Me

by eric. on Sep 2, 2010 6:53 PM EDT reply actions  


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