FanPost

Talking Playoffs?!?!?

 

Rest assured Steelers fans, Pittsburgh will make the playoffs.  The Steelers are working with a shamefully weak schedule this year.  For all the fretting we have done early this season, I don’t think there is any chance of missing the tournament.  Looking ahead at the Steelers’ schedule, we are virtually guaranteed at least a wild card berth.

Excluding some sort of disaster, here is what I view as worst case scenario:

Jags                Win

Cards              Loss

Pats                L

Ravens            L

Cincy              W

Bye

Chiefs             W

Cincy              W

Browns           W

49ers              L

Rams             W

Browns           W

I see this as a pessimistic prediction and it’s still a 10-6 record, even with losses against the 49ers and Cards.  Those will likely be wins, but the point is even if we lose two of the nine easy games, we’re probably good. 

Let’s say we beat every team except the Pats and Ravens, a pretty reasonable expectation.  That’s 12-4. If we lose to those two plus one easy game, we’re 11-5.

The Pats and Ravens are the only games left that we’ll be underdogs.  The Pats have more weaknesses than usual and the Ravens peaked in week 1.  Both games are at home.  1-1 in those games plus winning all the easy games makes us 13-3.

If the team is motivated and coordinated enough to win out, we’re 14-2 and probably get home field advantage. 

These are the odds for our final record as I see it:

9-7 or worse  5%

10-6  15%

11-5  35%

12-4  25%

13-3  15%

14-2  5%

The Bills and Chargers are currently 4-1, though both have much tougher schedules than we have.  I think the only issue we may run into is the Texans’ tie breaker over us if Tennessee wins that division.  With Max Starks stabilizing our O-line situation and key players returning from injury over the next several weeks, I see a mid/late season surge for this team.  The last seven weeks are a cake walk as far as an NFL schedule.  Don’t want to jinx it, but I truly believe the Steelers are headed to the postseason once again.  I just hope the players don’t take it for granted as much as I do.

 


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