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The problem of the 4th quarter comeback and game winning drive.

I'm working on a best playoff QB ranking that is taking a lot more time than I originally thought.  Mainly because I want to really look at the stats and delve into them more than just throw together a list based on what games I watched and a quick look at stats.

I ran into a lot of trouble when I started looking at 4th qtr. comebacks and game winning drive stats.  (I find most of the stats here) I will call getting credit for both in the same game a winner, to save my wrists and your time.

Let me give you an example.  Jeff Hostetler gets a winner for Super Bowl 25.  He drove his team down the field to get the winning FG in the fourth quarter, taking the lead 20-19.  However there were 3 drives and over 7 minutes of football after that score.  The infamous missed FG by Buffalo being much bigger than the drive to take the lead in the memories of most people.

How about another even better example?  Terry Bradshaw gets a winner for Super Bowl 10.  That comeback/game winning drive made the score 12-10.  Terry had 8 rushing yards on that drive and 0 pass attempts.  Dallas would never regain the lead.  The final score would be 21-17.  In the seven drives following the comeback drive Bradshaw would run the ball once and throw the ball once.  That throw was a TD Bomb to Swann that I hope everyone can remember, but even that pass made it 21-10.  Should Bradshaw get the same credit for this as Ben does for the final TD of SB 43?

I decided it might help if I looked at QB's who threw a TD pass in the 4th quarter that gave their team the lead.  That was equally interesting.  While this stat gives credit to Kurt Warner for his bringing his team back to take the lead in SB 43, which is worth something, it also gives you Todd Collins, who threw two 4th quarter TD's to give the redskins a 14-13 lead over the Seahawks in 2008, but then also threw two pick sixes to help the Seahawks win 35-14.  (Also note Matt Hasselbeck gets a winner for this game as he got the go ahead score before the 2 defensive TD's.

Currently swimming in a bit too much data, I just wanted to post this to show not only why it's taking me so long to finish this list, but also the general difficulty in making a list that is better than the lists you see on ESPN that incorporate more biased opinions than stats.

If you are actually looking forward to my results, they should be finished within a month.

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