Will Steelers Continue Trend of Drafting Young, Underclassmen in 2011 NFL Draft?
Several things stuck out to me while I listened to Jim Wexell share his thoughts about his weekend at the 2011 Scouting Combine in Indianapolis. The first was how he felt like there were numerous talented cornerbacks to be had in the second, third and fourth rounds, yet nobody really that stood out as a worthwhile investment in the first round considering where the Steelers are picking (31st). The second was something Wexell stated about Kevin Colbert's recent propensity to draft young, underclassmen in the first round. Wexell was accurate in his statement that the Steelers have used their first round pick on a 21-year old junior in three of the past four drafts. The trend actually goes back further than that though.
As a quick refresher, the Steelers first round picks this past decade.
- 2010 - Maurkice Pouncey (Jr.)
- 2009 - Evander 'Ziggy' Hood (Sr.)
- 2008 - Rashard Mendenhall (Jr.)
- 2007 - Lawrence Timmons (Jr.)
- 2006 - Santonio Holmes (Jr.)
- 2005 - Heath Miller (Jr.)
- 2004 - Ben Roethlisberger (Jr.)
- 2003 - Troy Polamalu (Sr.)
- 2002 - Kendall Simmons (Sr.)
- 2001 - Casey Hampton (Sr.)
- 2000 - Plaxico Burress (Jr.)
So, since Colbert took over as Director of Football Operations in 2000, seven of his 11 first round selections have been juniors who declared early. And since 2004 when Big Ben was selected, all but one of the Steelers top draft picks have been juniors. Timmons, Mendenhall and Pouncey were 21 when they joined the Steelers. As for the other juniors selected last decade? I'll take a pass on looking up which were 21 years of age rather than 22 when they suited up as rookies in the NFL, but if any of you are so inclined, by all means share.
Moving on to 2011. There are 56 underclassmen who have declared for the 2011 NFL Draft, which is a new record. So much for talented fringe juniors opting to return for their senior year because of the ongoing labor situation.
Here's the list, followed by some analysis about which underclassmen might make for a good fit in Pittsburgh in 2011 and beyond.
|
Player |
Pos. |
College |
|
Adams, Darvin |
WR |
Auburn |
|
Austin, Marvin |
DT |
North Carolina |
|
Ayers, Akeem |
LB |
UCLA |
|
Baldwin, Jon |
WR |
Pittsburgh |
|
Bowers, Da'Quan |
DE |
Clemson |
|
Brown, DeAndre |
WR |
Southern Mississippi |
|
Burton, Brandon |
DB |
Utah |
|
Casey, Jurrell |
DT |
Southern California |
|
Clay, John |
RB |
Wisconsin |
|
Claytor, Nick |
T |
Georgia Tech |
|
Cobb, Randall |
WR |
Kentucky |
|
Dareus, Marcell |
DE |
Alabama |
|
Doss, Tandon |
WR |
Indiana |
|
Evans, Darren |
RB |
Virginia Tech |
|
Fairley, Nick |
DT |
Auburn |
|
Gabbert, Blaine |
QB |
Missouri |
|
Green, A.J. |
WR |
Georgia |
|
Gurley, Tori |
WR |
South Carolina |
|
Guy, Lawrence |
DT |
Arizona State |
|
Hamler, Jamel |
WR |
Fresno State |
|
Harper, Jamie |
RB |
Clemson |
|
Harris, Brandon |
DB |
Miami |
|
Hill, Will |
DB |
Florida |
|
Houston, Justin |
LB |
Georgia |
|
Hynoski, Henry |
RB |
Pittsburgh |
|
Ingram, Mark |
RB |
Alabama |
|
Jones, Julio |
WR |
Álabama |
|
Keiser, Thomas |
LB |
Stanford |
|
Leshoure, Mikel |
RB |
Illinois |
|
Lewis, Dion |
RB |
Pittsburgh |
|
Lewis, Javes |
DB |
Oregon |
|
Little, Greg |
WR |
North Carolina |
|
Liuget, Corey |
DT |
Illinois |
|
Mallett, Ryan |
QB |
Arkansas |
|
Moore, Rahim |
DB |
UCLA |
|
Newton, Cam |
QB |
Auburn |
|
Parr, Zane |
DE |
Virginia |
|
Peterson, Patrick |
DB |
Louisiana State |
|
Quinn, Robert |
DE |
North Carolina |
|
Ridley, Stevan |
RB |
Louisiana State |
|
Rodgers, Jacquizz |
RB |
Oregon State |
|
Rudolph, Kyle |
TE |
Notre Dame |
|
Sands, Robert |
DB |
West Virginia |
|
Sash, Tyler |
DB |
Iowa |
|
Siliga, Sealver |
DT |
Utah |
|
Smith, Aldon |
DE |
Missouri |
|
Smith, Torrey |
WR |
Maryland |
|
Smith, Tyron |
T |
Southern California |
|
Tarrant, Jerrard |
DB |
Georgia Tech |
|
Todman, Jordan |
RB |
Connecticut |
|
Vereen, Shane |
RB |
California |
|
Watt, J.J. |
DE |
Wisconsin |
|
Wilkerson, Muhammad |
DT |
Temple |
|
Williams, Aaron |
DB |
Texas |
|
Williams, Ryan |
RB |
Virginia Tech |
|
Wilson, Martez |
LB |
Illinois |
Notes:
You'll notice I highlighted various players above in bold. I'm sure there is an omission or two, as well as several guys who aren't quite deserving of being mentioned, but generally speaking, those that I've highlighted are prospects that are considered to be first or second round talents. All could potentially be eyed by the Steelers. Note though that I did not include guys that are widely considered as locks to be selected in the top-ten. Nor did I include running backs or quarterbacks for what I consider to be obvious reasons.
There's been speculation galore about the Steelers fixating exclusively on CB and OL in this years Draft, but I continue to contend that the organization might not believe that the OL is nearly the same mess that most fans do. Yes, it's still a work in progress, and yes there must be new bodies added this offseason in order to offset the likely departure of at least several free agents. But as is the case every year it seems like under Kevin Colbert, the Steelers aren't going to bypass upper echelon talent at other positions just to reach for a fringe OL prospect on day one or two of the draft. After listening to Wexell, I think the same might be said about CB this year. We'll see.
Here's a few guys I highlighted in the list above that I believe are worth keeping a close eye on and learning more about this next month or so. By all means, share whatever you may know about any and all of the underclassmen that declared for the '11 Draft, as well as your thoughts on who I've identified as my intriguing, young, early-round prospects.
Keep an Eye On:
- Brandon Burton, CB, Utah: As Jim Wexell mentioned on Monday morning, Burton has two future meetings scheduled with the Steelers. That just about says it all in terms of why we should be keeping an eye on Burton.
-
Corey Liuget, DE/DT, Illinois: Color me extremely intrigued by Liuget as a potential first-round pick for the Steelers. He'll probably be off the board by the time the Steelers were to select at 31, but I could envision a scenario where the Steelers traded up to the early 20s were he still available. He didn't exactly turn heads at the Combine either, so perhaps his rising stock has flat-lined a little bit. I'll be writing more about this youngster soon.
- Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh: I know it may sound blasphemous to think that the Steelers might consider drafting a WR in the first round, but really the situation at the position isn't quite as rosy as some might want to believe. Hines Ward is obviously finishing up his career here in the next several seasons, and beyond that, the Steelers have three guys that are all under 6 feet tall. Mike Wallace is a stud, no doubt. But even though I love Emmanuel Sanders and Antonio Brown as complimentary weapons, I'm not one to believe that they're No. 2 type options. Baldwin would give the Steelers the tall presence at WR they've been sorely missing since Plaxico Burress' departure. Baldwin was a top performer in the bench press, the broad jump, and he posted the highest vertical jump at 42.0 in.
- Rahim Moore, S, UCLA: Despite Wexell being less than impressed by his interviewing skills, Moore can't be ignored as an intriguing DB prospect because of his versatility to play both S and CB. I actually think S might be a position the Steelers target early on in this year's draft, but I've not yet done the legwork research-wise to give you much of an informed opinion just yet. But Moore could very well wind up in Pittsburgh if he's on the board at 31.
- Martez Wilson, LB, Illinois: You can't have enough speed in today's NFL, especially over the middle of the field. Mike Tomlin knows this, that's for sure. And Wilson just showcased his ridiculous speed at the Combine, posting a 4.49 40. For a 250+ pound guy, that's just ridiculous. Wilson's stellar Combine almost guarantees he'll be the first middle/inside LB taken this year.
- Will Hill, CB, Florida: I don't think the Steelers would select Hill with the 31st overall pick, but he's an intriguing prospect if you ask me. He's got solid size and speed, experience making plays on special teams, might be able to play some safety in a pinch, and could contribute as a nickel corner as early as next season.
- J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin: This young man looks like he could be a perfect fit for the Steelers. My initial take on him is he could be a hybrid of Aaron Smith and Brett Keisel. More Keisel in my preliminary estimation, as he's apparently got great closing speed and solid anticipation when batting down passes -- both Keisel traits. Watt tore it up this past weekend. He was a top performer in almost every workout at the Combine: the bench press, vertical jump, broad jump, three-cone drills, and 20-yard shuttle. I would be thrilled if the Steelers traded up in the first round to land Watt
- Tyron Smith, T, USC: Don't necessarily put me in the camp of those who thinks that Smith is a likely candidate to end up in Pittsburgh, but he'd certainly be hard to pass up if he were still available late in the first round. Smith needs to put on some size, and he apparently lacks a solid football IQ at this point in his career. But give him some time in an NFL strength and conditioning program and the size issues will all but certainly be addressed. And get him with the right coaches and I think Smith might make significant strides with his understanding of what goes into playing OT at a high level.
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We could really go anywhere in the 1st if a specific player they tagged is available for future need. They might covet Taylor or Watt, who knows.
I still believe they will address the O line in the 1st, most likely at T if the quality/value is still available, then CB in the 2nd. I would even take Sands in the 2nd then a CB in the 3rd. There are other serviceable guard options in later rounds if we pass on Pouncey in the 1st, though he would be my first choice/pick.
I just like looking at that list of 1st rounders
we have gotten a lot out of our 1st picks
Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all
Baldwin
As much as I would absolutely absolutely loove to draft a Big OL or a Top CB in the first round , i think if someone like him is available then you would seriously have to think about him. Going to a lot of Pitt games , he is definitely a stud. Maybe a little bad on the attitude part , but he went from having a tremendous year last year to a pretty bad one this year bcuz of the lack of the QB play. But this guy is a deep threat and a Go getter like the likes of Andre Johnson , FITZ, Calvin. Not putting him in their category what so ever, but it would be nice to have a go getter like that on our team. Just my thought on it lol
In Myron we Trust
Underclassmen
Somewhere Tomlin or Colbert talked about their apparent preference for underclassmen, but I can’t find the reference. I believe that it had to do with the ability to get them before they stopped growing (I don’t mean physically) and being able to mold that athlete as a Steeler.
"We have met the enemy and he is us" - Pogo (1970)
Tradedown
I would like to see us trade out of the 1st round as long as we can get a team that would give us their 2nd and 4th as long as its in the first five pick in those draft round order as long their is a can’t miss prospect at 31.
I completely agree
that we are not as “set” at WR as most people seem to think. We still need that tall physical WR, and Sweed is apparently not it. I would love to see us go after Baldwin in the 1st if he’s still there at 31. Sands will more than likely still be there for us in the 2nd, then start taking O & D linemen. I’m a WVU fan (duh), so I’ve seen a lot of Baldwin, and even more of Sands and both are big, physical guys who can contribute early for us.
"If we weren't all crazy we'd all go insane" - Jimmy Buffett
Blitz, DT Muhammad Wilkerson fits that role to me ....
6’4’’, 315 lbs., 4.96 in the 40, 35-inch arms, 27 bench presses of 225, & just 21 years old (won’t turn 22 until December 2011). I think he could be the best value at the end of the first round. He has the potential to be a 3-down DL because he’d kick inside on 3rd down. I like what I’m hearing about NT Phil Taylor of Baylor, but Dale Lolley said he’s heard from several people that the kid has a lot of character concerns, beyond his earlier suspension, and that the Steelers aren’t going to touch him.
Since Ras-I Dowling ran a 4.46 today at the combine (a 4.4 on some stopwatches), I would take him in the 2nd round. At the very worst, you have Clark’s replacement at free safety. At the best, I think you have a starting caliber CB that could fight with BMac and Crezdon Butler to start opposite of Ike.

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