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BTSC 2011 Community Mock Draft Pick No. 49 -- Jacksonville Jaguars Select Ryan Mallet, QB, Arkansas

Great stuff here from Flying Polamalus with the Jacksonville Jaguars pick at No. 49. Next up: the San Diego Chargers, represented by new BTSC'er J Lee. - Michael B. -

**************

A few years ago, as my now 8-year old son came to choosing his own NFL team, he sat in a house divided.  His mom, whom I brought into NFL fandom in 1997, had chosen the despised, Brett Favre-led Packers.  And you know where I stand.  Already the clever little diplomat, he decided to chose neither of his parents' teams, and, to my chagrin, picked the team that had just upset mine in the playoffs.  Of course, little Félix did not know that at the time: he just liked the colors, his own soccer team was named the Jaguars, and they were the only NFL team with a star approaching his own height, Maurice Jones-Drew.
 
Next stop, jersey-time.  Given that Canada and Jaguars don't really go together well in NFL gear retail, I went on e-Bay to order a kid's MJD no. 32.  Lo and behold, the guy screws up the order, and sends me a no. 18 Matt Jones, who had already left the organization in shady circumstances.  So I told the guy to get it right, and not to expect me to pay S&H on returning the discount-rack special either.  To my utter relief, we got no. 32 in the mail a few days later, and now, my son wears both with Jaguars pride.  I'll explain the NFL drug policy to him later.
 
Proof that you don't always get what you order, the NFL Jaguars are not where we expected them to be a few seasons back.  Bad drafting does that to you.  Unexpectedly last season, they contended for the AFC South crown, but that had more to do with the bad injury bug of the Colts than anything else.  Yes, the plucky Jaguars won a few good games (a Hail Mary win stands out among them), but could not deliver in crunch time.
 
As a result, GM Gene Smith, who surprised drafnickdom last year by apparently reaching for Tyson Alualu, could only confirm Del Rio for another season.  Unless they see eye-to-eye on personel matters and draft an outstanding class that helps the embattled coach get over the hump and beat the Colts, it's likely that 2011 will be Del Rio's last one.
 
On to the pick, now.  All of the above comments point to the classic organizational conflict: a general manager building for the long haul, with an almost lame-duck coach seeking to win now to preserve his job.

Star-divide

Unfortunately for Mr. Del Rio, by the time this pick rolls around, there are no sure things for the Jaguars needs this year.  After consulting his constituency (Big Cat Country - Thank you guys!), acting GM Flying Polamalus was left with three choices, 2 among BPAs, and the other going more to a long term need.  The first two are CB Ras-I Dowling, he of the late surge popularity among BTSC draftnicks, and QB Ryan Mallett, the much-maligned, supremely talented Arkansas product.  Both carry their risks, Dowling on the health side, and Mallett on the character side, with a side order of mechanics for short routes.
 
The third option may be a secret preference of GM Smith, and his Hawkeye-loving acting GM Flying Polamalus: Ricky Stanzi may be the anti-Mallett, a steady, solid citizen who may be the more NFL ready of the three, but definitely with less upside than the Razorback QB.  Organizational interest in Stanzi was limited to his Pro Day and some discrete scouting in 2010, but he is a dark horse candidate nonetheless to start planning the after-Garrard era in Jacksonville.  But will it be in the 2nd round?
 
Both GM and acting GM have considered the message that will be sent to the fans and the league, if injury-prone Dowling or reach Stanzi are chosen.  Death watch vigils for Mr. Del Rio would start instantly, and the words lame-duck and embattled would be overused during the regular season, while his name would top the Hot-Seat lists.
 
Gene Smith having apparently considered that 2010 was a sign of life afterall, and having already given a vote of confidence to Mr. Del Rio, instructs his acting GM to confirm said vote of confidence.
 
With the no. 49 pick of the 2011 amateur draft, the Jacksonville Jaguars choose, from the University of Arkansas, QB Ryan Mallett.
 
Standing at a towering 6'7'', and weighing a Garrard-like 253 lbs, the Michigan transfer comes out of two successful seasons in Razorback country, having completed 64 percent of his throws with at 32-12 TD-INT ratio.  He can make most NFL throws, but has struggled a bit with the soft-touch or underneath ones.
 
There are some concerns about his leadership and maturity, but there are good veteran surroundings on the offensive side of the ball, and Mallett will be able to learn under long-time backup David Garrard who, while not going to be ecstatic about the pick, understands the business side of the NFL enough to react like a pro.
 
Furthermore, by picking the sliding Mallett as BPA at 49, GM Smith avoids for a while the funeral watch for his coach.  After having pulled yet another audacious move in the BSTC Community Mock Draft in the first round with DE Brooks Reed, the Jacksonville FO plucks a surefire successor to David Garrard, and announces the upcoming end to mediocre QB play.  Whether said succession will take place in 2011 or later may happen under coach Del Rio, or not."
 
Flying Polamalus

BTSC 2011 Community Mock Draft Selections:

  1. Carolina Panthers -- Cam Newton, QB, Auburn
  2. Denver Broncos -- Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama
  3. Buffalo Bills -- Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M
  4. Cincinnati Bengals -- Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson
  5. Arizona Cardinals -- Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU
  6. Cleveland Browns -- 'The Snow Cone Machine' A.J. Green, WR, Georgia
  7. San Francisco 49ers -- Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri
  8. Tennessee Titans -- Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn
  9. Dallas Cowboys -- Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska
  10. Washington Redskins -- Robert Quinn, DE/OLB, North Carolina
  11. Houston Texans -- Aldon Smith, DE/OLB, Missouri
  12. Minnesota Vikings -- Tyron Smith, OT, USC
  13. Detroit Lions -- JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin
  14. St. Louis Rams -- Julio Jones, WR, Alabama
  15. Miami Dolphons -- Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama
  16. Jacksonville Jaguars -- Brooks Reed , DE, Arizona
  17. New England Patriots -- Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin
  18. San Diego Chargers -- Ryan Kerrigan, DE/OLB, Purdue
  19. New York Giants -- Akeem Ayers, LB, UCLA
  20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College
  21. Kansas City Chiefs -- Martez Wilson, LB, Illinois
  22. Indianapolis Colts -- Cameron Jordan, DL, California
  23. Philadelphia Eagles -- Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado
  24. New Orleans Saints -- Justin Houston, DE/OLB, Georgia
  25. Seattle Seahawks -- Jake Locker, QB, Washington
  26. Baltimore Ravens -- Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland
  27. Atlanta Falcons -- Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa
  28. New England Patriots -- Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida
  29. Chicago Bears --Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State
  30. New York Jets -- Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple
  31. Pittsburgh Steelers -- Nate Solder, OT, Colorado
  32. Green Bay Packers -- Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor

ROUND 2

  1. New England Patriots -- Cameron Hayward, DE, Ohio State (33rd overall)
  2. Buffalo Bills -- Kyle Rudolph, TE, Notre Dame (34th overall)
  3. Cincinnati Bengals -- Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State (35th overall)
  4. Denver Broncos -- Mikel LeShoure, RB, Illinois (36th overall)
  5. Cleveland Browns -- Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois (37th overall)
  6. Arizona Cardinals -- Colin Kaepernick, QB, Nevada (38th overall)
  7. Tennessee Titans -- Andy Dalton, QB, Texas Christian (39th overall)
  8. Dallas Cowboys -- Danny Watkins, OG, Baylor (40th overall)
  9. Washington Redskins -- Jonathan Baldwin, WR, Pittsburgh (41st overall)
  10. Houston Texans -- Aaron Williams, CB, Texas (42nd overall)
  11. Minnesota Vikings -- Brandon Harris, CB, Miami (43rd overall)
  12. Detroit Lions -- Bruce Carter, OLB, North Carolina (44th overall)
  13. San Francisco 49ers -- Rahim Moore, FS, UCLA (45th overall)
  14. Denver Broncos -- Benjamin Ijalana, OL, Villanova (46th overall)
  15. St. Louis Rams -- Marvin Austin, DT, North Carolina (47th overall)
  16. Oakland Raiders -- Stefan Wisniewski, OG/C, Penn State (48th overall)

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Why was Mallet the 4 QB taken?

in the second round he is being talked about as a late first for a desperate team that trades up.

by Steel34D on Apr 18, 2011 4:50 PM EDT reply actions  

No trades in this draft

I suspect he may have moved up the board in a mock that allowed trades.

"A Canadian is someone who knows how to make love in a canoe" Pierre Burton (historian)

"It is wonderful to feel the grandness of Canada in the raw, not because she is Canada but because she's something sublime that you were born into, some great rugged power that you are a part of." Emily Carr (artist)

by Cold_Old_Steelers_Fan on Apr 18, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

people don't like Mallet?

I think that speaks of what Steelers fans want in a player. Maturity, especially at QB, is important (at least I think that is how we feel now). The belief that he will fold under pressure would weigh against him as well. I would imagine a team with an acceptable QB and a strong locker room could afford the risk of taking Mallet sooner and let him develop. In the real draft he will probably be chosen when the perceived risk of taking him is finally out-weighed by the opportunity/potential he presents.

"A Canadian is someone who knows how to make love in a canoe" Pierre Burton (historian)

"It is wonderful to feel the grandness of Canada in the raw, not because she is Canada but because she's something sublime that you were born into, some great rugged power that you are a part of." Emily Carr (artist)

by Cold_Old_Steelers_Fan on Apr 19, 2011 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I saw multiple Arkansas games this past year, against alabama, auburn, and one other, maybe lsu?, and the biggest thing that stood out to me wasnt how strong his arm was, or how big he was, but how easily he folds under pressure. I honestly dont see Ryan Mallett being very successful in the NFL, unless he can get a very talented OLine in front of him.

by Bringin' the Wood(ley) on Apr 18, 2011 4:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Agreed. Also saw the same three games on CBS

And came away with the same impression. I don’t think the Jags’ O-line is up to the task if he starts as a rookie, or even next year.

"No changes are permanent, but change is." Neil Peart - Rush

by Flying Polamalus on Apr 18, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree he does fold

under pressure. And that’s the only reason I wouldn’t make him a 1st round draft pick(Forgetting about the off the field stuff).
On the other hand however, if he can study and become a student of the game he can improve upon his problems with his brain. Learn the offense and learn your hots and what the defenses will want to do as well as the protections and he can make up for his lack of mobility and late game collapses.

by Ewdtrey on Apr 19, 2011 12:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with you

that he does need to ride the pine (for IMO 2 years) to learn the game, and become accustomed to it and more comfortable. But if he is thrown into the fire (ala Jimmy Clausen), I think he will fail miserably and his psyche will not be able to recover. But dont get me wrong, Clausen has nowhere near the talent of Mallett, Clausen flat out sucks.

by Bringin' the Wood(ley) on Apr 19, 2011 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

+1

And the good thing about going to Jacksonville is that Garrard will be there for Malett’s transition, and Mallett can also learn how to be a true professional.

by Ewdtrey on Apr 19, 2011 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

I felt I could not pass him up at 49

"No changes are permanent, but change is." Neil Peart - Rush

by Flying Polamalus on Apr 19, 2011 9:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

According to recent reports on NFL network

A lot of the concern about Mallet’s off the field issues have been reconciled by some teams. Rumors have it that he may go to the Redskins at 10 or Miami at 15. I guess being the best QB talent-wise in the draft holds more weight than rumors that he may have liked to party in college (who doesn’t?). I guess teams don’t want to risk having the Mallet story being compared to Marino in 5 years.

His coach says he’s a great leader and has never been a problem. He has clearly the best arm in the draft, runs a pro style offense, is slow of foot, and allegedly partied too much off the field in college. Replace Mallet’s name with Marino and those scouting reports were very similar. I’m not saying Mallet is as good as Marino, but teams who need a QB would be foolish to pass on him. No way will he make it deep into the second round, and it’s sounding more and more like he’ll be a top 15 pick.

by lkwdsteel on Apr 19, 2011 11:36 AM EDT reply actions  

You may be very right

and I agree that his off-field issues have been blown waaaay out of proportion, but he is still immature on the field too. No matter where he goes, I see a disaster-in-waiting if he is forced to play too early in his career.

by Bringin' the Wood(ley) on Apr 19, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

no argument about it being a disaster if he starts early...

but then again that’s the norm for QB’s in the league (including our own Bradshaw back in the day). I don’t think that’s changed now in spite of some recent success stories. Becoming a QB in the league is like trying to learn a foreign language well enough to teach the other players while having 300+lb guys trying to tear your head off. I don’t think it’s fair to judge any QB before year 3, provided they have the physical skills.

I don’t really care about Mallet one way or another. I just find it funny how the experts will talk about him as clearly having the best arm and accuracy in the draft, and then saying he’ll fall to the second round. I guess it’s possible, but before NFL teams will pass on a guy with more talent I think they’d need more serious accusations against him. Hell there are players who have a rap sheet that still are drafted in the first round.

by lkwdsteel on Apr 19, 2011 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Its definitely the norm

not many QBs can come in day one and have success, most of them are pretty damn bad that first year, but what separates them is if they have the tenacity to keep fighting and the mental mindset to continually maintain compsure to become great (like Bradshaw), or if they will crumble and fall out of the league faster than JaMarcus Russell can down some syzzurp.

by Bringin' the Wood(ley) on Apr 19, 2011 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

and i meant to say

that Im not sure if Mallett has that mindset yet, from his collegiate career I saw a laser, rocket arm than was rattled rather easily with pressure, and forced a lot of bad picks and throws on his part. He needs to do some major maturing in terms of standing strong in the pocket and reading correctly while not being bothered by the pressure thats only going to be coming faster and stronger in the NFL.

by Bringin' the Wood(ley) on Apr 19, 2011 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions  


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