AFC North Roundup, Week 8: Baltimore, Cincinnati on bye weeks

A nasty day for a game in Cleveland... - Matt Sullivan

This week it's the AFC North Lite, as Baltimore and the Bengals are resting and recuperating.

One would have expected it to be a rather quiet week in the AFC North with two of the four teams not playing, but the teams who were playing created some seismic waves. The practically winless Browns hosted the San Diego Chargers, and the total score of the game was less than two touchdowns. This is because only one touchdown was scored the entire afternoon. Neither QB threw for a score. Astonishingly, none of the points were made by Cleveland kicker Phil Dawson.

In rainy Pittsburgh, on the other hand, four touchdowns were scored. This was also surprising, as a great many people expected this to either be an offensive shootout or a high-scoring rout by rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. There is no doubt there should have been more touchdowns. A drop in the endzone by a wide-open Washington receiver, yet another punt return for a touchdown by Antonio Brown nullified by a special teams penalty, and what seemed like the application of the Mercy Rule toward the end of the game by the Steelers kept the score lower than it might well have been.

But first, the Record:

Baltimore Ravens: 5-2 (Division record: 2-0)

Cincinnati Bengals: 3-4 (Division record 1-3)

Cleveland Browns: 2-6 (Division record 1-2)

Pittsburgh Steelers: 4-3 (Division record 1-0)

Baltimore still retains the lead in the division as well as the No. 2 spot in the AFC. The Texans are No. 1, New England is No. 3, and the Steelers are still part of a four-way tie for the No. 4 spot, with the Denver Broncos, the Miami Dolphins, and the Indianapolis Colts. Nine AFC teams are now below .500. To think I was astonished last week when seven teams had lost more games than they had won.

100% of the AFC North won their games this week. Next week will be another story. At least 25% of the division will win their game, but it might not be much higher than that. The Ravens play the Browns in Cleveland, the Bengals play Denver in Cincinnati, and the Steelers take on the New York Giants at the Meadowlands. Hopefully it won't be the Marshlands on Sunday.

There isn't a good deal to report on the injury front at this point. As far as I know, no one has suffered another catastrophic loss for next week, at least at this point. (The loss of either LaMarr Woodley or Ryan Clark for the Steelers next Sunday would qualify, however.) Probably the biggest news is, while Cleveland running back Trent Richardson still isn't at 100%, he ran well and scored the lone touchdown last Sunday in the Browns/Chargers game.

On to the stats. Depending on the situation, Cincinnati and Baltimore are either showing the same figures as the previous week or a blank space.

Passer Rating:

Passer_8_medium

(Note the chart moved from 50 - 100 last week to 55 - 105, to accommodate Roethlisberger's rising stats.)

The Pro Football Focus quarterback rankings (season average) are now:

Joe Flacco: No. 27 (Last week No. 28)

Andy Dalton: No. 19 (Last week No. 18)

Brandon Weeden: No. 32 (Last week No. 32)

Ben Roethlisberger: No. 9 (Last week No. 11)

Whether you look at the NFL stats or the PFF stats, Ben Roethlisberger is pulling away from the pack for the time being. If he stays healthy, (and he has a much better chance of it, given the greatly reduced sacks he's taking this season) it bodes well for him having a career year this season. To see how everyone looks over the course of the season, here is Trending:

Qb_trend_8_medium

Ben Roethlisberger is still winning the Interception Watch:

Joe Flacco: 6

Andy Dalton: 10

Brandon Weeden: 10

Ben Roethlisberger: 3

This was an interception-free week in the AFC North, albeit with only two teams playing.

On to the Receivers:

Inc

After improving a great deal for the previous several weeks the Cleveland receivers are back to their butterfingered ways. The Steelers had the second-lowest incompletion level of the season. Here are the remaining receivers (including running backs when thrown to) without a drop of a catchable pass, according to PFF. I'm limiting the list to WRs with more than 13 targets, TEs with more than eight targets, and RBs with more than five targets:

Armon Binns, CIN: 29 of 45 (did not play in Week 8)

Jacoby Jones, BAL: 13 of 22 (did not play in Week 8)

Isaac Redman, PIT: 10 of 10 (did not play in Week 8)

Cedric Peerman, CIN: 8 of 8 (did not play in Week 8)

Will Johnson, PIT: 6 of 7

Sadly, Heath Miller finally got crossed off this list with a drop on Sunday.

Here's the Trending chart:

Wr_inc

Here is a comparison for the three principal wide receivers (judged by number of targets) and the No. 1 TE. The figures will remain unchanged from last week for Baltimore and Cincinnati:

Wr_drop_8_medium

Te_drop_8_medium

In the PFF Signature Stats Wide Receiver Rating, Mike Wallace still tops the AFC North receivers with a significant number of targets at No. 8. A.J. Green is No. 11, Torrey Smith is No. 21, Antonio Brown is No. 25, and Anquan Boldin is No. 33. None of the other AFC North receivers appear on this list of the 42 most-targeted WRs in the league.

On to Rushing. Again, the Ravens and the Bengals will stay the same as last week in the average, and won't appear in the Week 8 trending numbers:

Rush_8_medium

Rush_trend_8_medium

Would ya look at that!

On to the Defense:

NFL Ranking (in which I average the NFL ranking for Average Yards/Game given up and the ranking for Average Points Per Game given up):

Baltimore Ravens: No. 23 (No. 28, 400.0 yds/game; No. 17, 23 pts/game)

Cincinnati Bengals: No. 23 (No. 21, 357.1 yds/game; No. 25, 26.7 pts/game)

Cleveland Browns: No. 23 (No. 26, 392.4 yds/game; No. 19, 23.2 pts/game)

Pittsburgh Steelers: No. 6 (No. 2, 274.1 yds/game; No. 9, 20.6 pts/game)

The Ravens and the Browns are tied; I round up to get a whole number, but both of their scores are actually 22.5. The Bengals are in last place, as their score is actually 23. The Steelers are actually 5.5. Only two AFC teams are ahead of the Steelers in Average Points Per Game, the Texans and the Dolphins.

Passes Defensed and Sacks:

Since I'm giving these as averages, last week's averages for the Ravens and the Bengals will stand:

Sk_8_medium

Here is the Takeaway/Turnover Differential (no change for BAL or CIN):

Ta_8_medium

Special Teams:

Avg_st_8_medium

Here's a look at the trends since Week 1:

St_trend_8_medium

Trending charts begin at zero, and the maximum is 250.

Last week I wrote,

Honestly, if the Pittsburgh special teams would quit having big gains on kick and punt returns called back by stupid penalties, this part of the game would look a lot more respectable.

And wouldn't you know it, the Steelers had yet another touchdown on a punt return called back for an illegal block in the back. Luckily for the offender, Curtis Brown, he redeemed himself elsewhere in the game. But somehow or other the special teams penalties have to quit.

The Browns' return game has taken a serious nose dive, for reasons I don't understand, since Joshua Cribbs is still returning for them. There certainly were a number of opportunities for a good return in the game vs. San Diego—there were six punts and two kickoffs. It's a mystery, I suppose.

Place Kickers:

Fg_8_medium

Shaun Suisham is the only kicker to actually attempt a field goal this week—he was two for two.

And now, the Scoring Differential:

Pt_dif_8_medium

And finally, Trending:

Cum

Next week should tell us a bit more about where the denizens of the AFC North are headed. If the upstart Browns manage to hold off the rested Ravens, all bets are off. If Cincinnati pulls out a win against the resurgent Broncos, it will be most impressive. ("Mr. Manning, meet Mr. Atkins...") And I don't even want to speculate about Steelers/Giants, other than to hope it is held on a field rather than in a lake. (Question—which team would be the most adversely affected?)

Don't touch that dial! Stay tuned for next week's episode of "As the Division Turns."

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