WalterFootball is one of the more respected Draft Analysts on the web in my opinion. On their latest Mock Draft, WalterFootball.com has the Steelers taking Georgia Linebacker Jarvis Jones with the 17th pick, citing how teams over-think the draft process a lot and pass up on players for various reasons. Here is their explanation that makes me laugh a little.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia
Boom. Jarvis Jones drops to No. 17 overall in this mock. I had Jones going No. 2 overall a couple of updates ago, but check out Charlie's rumor mill entry on why Jones is expected to slide.
I believe dumb groupthink will cause Jones to fall on Draft Day. General managers will be petrified of his spine issue. But, as smart teams like the Steelers, Giants, Ravens, etc. often do, they'll snatch up a plummeting draft prospect and laugh at all of the dumb organizations constantly picking in the top 10 as they field yet another Pro Bowler.
Jones isn't just the best player available; he fills a big need as well. James Harrison may not be back next year. He'll be due $6.6 million as a 35-year-old who is having trouble staying healthy. The Steelers may spend an early pick on a rush linebacker.
I am not really hoping for much here, but if this happens, it will be a coup d' etat that will rival the Aaron Rodgers fall back in '07. Here is hoping psychology wins out here and the teams constantly picking in the Top 10 will show why they continue to pick in the Top 10.