FanPost

How the Steelers will finish the season

There is a saying in the NFL it's not who you play but when you play them, implying that at various times of the season, teams are stronger or weaker depending on injuries or recent acquisitions by signing free agents or perhaps by trade.

I disagree. An organization named Cold Hard Facts several years ago came up with a formula to determine which games a team would have a better chance of losing and therefore how a team would finish based on the number of QUALITY OPPONENTS they had to face in a season. A QUALITY OPPONENT is defined as a team who currently (after week 7) has a record above .500 and who down the road would be almost certain losses for lousy teams especially if the game was played on the road (for example Denver losing to Indy this past Sunday) And as you might have suspected by now a team with fewer QUALITY OPPONENTS remaining on its schedule has a better chance to win more of its 9-10 remaining games.

For the Steelers this is how it breaks down:

The Steelers currently sit at 2-4 and have 4 QUALITY OPPONENTS left on their schedule, the Patriots, the Lions, the Bengals and the Packers. Even if Pittsburgh splits these games that still gives them 6 losses on the season. Of the remaining games, the Bills, the Browns twice, the Ravens, the Dolphins and the Raiders I can't see the Steelers sweeping them and they're bound to lose at least one of these games. In other words at best the Steelers are a 9-7 team and they would finish just out of the playoffs.

Finally here are the projected AFC standings based on the team's current record and the number of QUALITY OPPONENTS on its schedule:

1 Denver Broncos (6-1)------------------------13-3 (5 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

2 New England Patriots (5-2)------------------12-4 (1 QUALITY OPPONENT)

3 Cincinnati Bengals (5-2)--------------------11-5 (beat the Colts) (3 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

4 Indianapolis Colts (5-2)--------------------11-5 (loss to the Bengals) (2 QUALITY OPP)

WC:

5 Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)--------------------12-4 (5 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

6 New York Jets (4-3)-------------------------10-6 (2 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

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