I seem to remember that Colbert said a while back that if a player is there that you really want, you grab him. That mindset seems most suited for a second/third round or later situation but still has to apply to this. What I want the Steelers to do most of all is not bank on a player still being there in a trade down situation. If they trade down 10 spots I want 10 players to be on their board that they can take that they are confident in at that grade. What if the top 14 picks only have 6 intended targets that the Steelers are looking at taken but there are still 8 left. If that is the case don't trade down past 8 spots as that could risk losing your opportunity for a player you wanted. As much of a crapshoot that the draft already is why make it even harder on yourself each round?
If there is a player the Steelers want they should grab them. If C.J. Mosley is there at 15 and they really like him but decide to pass and trade back, what they are doing is allowing other teams to make that decision for them. "Let's see how these teams draft and if he is still there 5 spots later we take him if not we go with the next best thing." As a top ten pick that might make more sense but at 15 just take advantage of your draft position and take your pick. Now if you are torn between 4 guys that you consider interchangeable, then sure go back 4 or five spots but otherwise stay put and take advantage.
If the trade down happens, then what?
Well we get our guy in the first (insert whomever knowing it probably wasn't a Mike Evans or Justin Gilbert), Say we get an extra second round pick and 5th round or future year pick. Maybe we get an extra 3rd and fourth round pick. After the first 10-15 players in the second round teams could make runs for a position you thought was going to be there. Think of last year when RB wasn't drafted the first round. All of a sudden by mid third round every decent back was pretty much off the board minus maybe one or two long shots. Safety was very deep last year and by the time 4th round came there were two left that were considered pretty much the end of the depth. Sure you could pick out a player here or there based on opinion but phillip and shamarko were the last of the depth of that draft. I wouldn't want to be a GM making these decisions. There are guys that will be undervalued one of which last year was probably leveon Bell. Sure he would have lasted longer than Eddie Lacy but The steelers didn't want to let him go so we grabbed him. Good decision I must say.
So maybe trading down isn't the best idea.
Whatever the Steelers do it will likely be smarter than anything I could ever come up with as a fan unless I had a lucky hunch that I just threw out there. Pretty much every scenario has been thrown out there from BTSC writers and readers/contributers and one of us will be correct. But the reason why we will be correct will not ring as true as why the Steelers make the moves that they make. I bet they have 4 or five special players that they are looking at and are willing to go get. This draft may be different than years past as WR and CB are big targets in the first round, or at least they are perceived to be. This draft may be different due to the depth of talent behind every single position. The consideration for Safety is all but gone in the first four rounds so that narrows the scope down to defense(anywhere on the defense minus safety), to WR/TE on offense. That makes this draft exciting.
They can do anything this year and blind side people with picks while those picks are still good. Quality picks is a must. If we think a player that they get is a reach then so be it. Almost every player that has been suggested could be a reach mostly because i have seen about 13 players listed as picks at 15 and that isn't including O-line, QBs, safety now might be off the board in the first as well which still allows us to get a healthy pick. I like the signings that they have done so far and can't wait to seem what happens in the draft. Sorry for the rant just felt like writing my thoughts. All this being said I know what I hope for even though it won't happen.