2014 BTSC Community Mock Draft: How did we do?

Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

Comparing the first round mock draft that our community of misfits put together with how the real deal turned out last night, and also putting it up against the work of ESPN's NFL reporters - just for kicks. (Spoiler alert: BTSC did better.)

After the conclusion of our 2014 community mock draft last week, I had meant to do a summary/recap piece to put a nice little bow on it. For reasons that you don't care about, I unfortunately did not have the time to do so though.

Nonetheless, I still owe you guys something for it - and now with the first round of the 2014 NFL Draft in the books, we can see how accurate our predictions were!

Let's look at the results side-by-side.

Green numbers indicate that a player was actually selected that many spots before where they went in the community mock, while red numbers indicate that a player was actually selected later (and "NP" indicates the actual selection was not picked at all in the mock).

"Original Team" is the order we worked with for the mock (which team was effectively in that slot once the draft order was finalized, and after accounting for past trades), while "Actual Team" is who ended up picking in that slot after last night's wheeling and dealing.


Original Team Mock pick (Link to write up) Positions Actual pick Actual Team
1 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/HOU.png Blake Bortles QB - DE Jadeveon Clowney (+3) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/HOU.png
2 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/STL.png Johnny Manziel QB - OT Greg Robinson (+7) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/STL.png
3 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/JAC.png Teddy Bridgewater QB - QB Blake Bortles (-2) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/JAC.png
4 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CLE.png Jadeveon Clowney DE - WR Sammy Watkins (+3) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/BUF.png
5 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/OAK.png Jake Matthews OT - LB Khalil Mack (+1) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/OAK.png
6 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/ATL.png Khalil Mack LB - OT Jake Matthews (-1) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/ATL.png
7 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/TB.png Sammy Watkins WR - WR Mike Evans (+5) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/TB.png
8 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/MIN.png C.J. Mosley LB - CB Justin Gilbert (+3) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CLE.png
9 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/BUF.png Greg Robinson OT - OLB Anthony Barr (+1) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/MIN.png
10 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/DET.png Anthony Barr OLB - TE Eric Ebron (+8) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/DET.png
11 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/TEN.png Justin Gilbert CB - OT Taylor Lewan (+6) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/TEN.png
12 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NYG.png Mike Evans WR - WR Odell Beckham Jr. (+10) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NYG.png
13 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/STL.png Ha Ha Clinton-Dix S - DT Aaron Donald (+1) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/STL.png
14 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CHI.png Aaron Donald DT - CB Kyle Fuller (+10) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CHI.png
15 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/PIT.png Darqueze Dennard CB - LB Ryan Shazier (+6) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/PIT.png
16 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/DAL.png Calvin Pryor S - OL Zack Martin (+3) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/DAL.png
17 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/BAL.png Taylor Lewan OT - LB C.J. Mosley (-9) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/BAL.png
18 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NYJ.png Eric Ebron TE - S Calvin Pryor (-2) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NYJ.png
19 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/MIA.png Zack Martin OT - OT Ja'Wuan James (NP) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/MIA.png
20 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/ARI.png Dee Ford OLB - WR Brandin Cooks (+8) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NO.png
21 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/GB.png Ryan Shazier LB - S Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (-8) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/GB.png
22 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/PHI.png Odell Beckham Jr. WR - QB Johnny Manziel (-20) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CLE.png
23 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/KC.png Kelvin Benjamin WR - DE Dee Ford (-3) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/KC.png
24 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CIN.png Kyle Fuller CB - CB Darqueze Dennard (-9) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CIN.png
25 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/SD.png Ra'Shede Hageman DT - CB Jason Verrett (+5) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/SD.png
26 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CLE.png Derek Carr QB - LB Marcus Smith (NP) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/PHI.png
27 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NO.png Marqise Lee WR - S Deone Bucannon (NP) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/ARI.png
28 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CAR.png Brandin Cooks WR - WR Kelvin Benjamin (-5) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/CAR.png
29 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NE.png Timmy Jernigan DT - DT Dominique Easley (NP) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/NE.png
30 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/SF.png Jason Verrett CB - S Jimmie Ward (NP) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/SF.png
31 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/DEN.png Xavier Su'a-Filo OG - CB Bradley Roby (NP) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/DEN.png
32 http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/SEA.png Cyrus Kouandjio OT - QB Teddy Bridgewater (-29) http://sports.cbsimg.net/images/nfl/logos/50x50/MIN.png

For sake of comparison, just a few days ago on May 6th, ESPN's pool of dedicated team reporters did a 1st round mock in an afternoon: they accounted for 25 of the 32 actual first round picks, and had the spots for seven picks exactly correct. While no picks were exactly correct in our community mock (not the biggest deal, seeing how ours evolved over the course of a full month and ended a full week before yesterday), we accounted for 26 of the 32 first rounders.

Yes, I am scoring that as BTSC misfits - 1, ESPN NFL Nation professionals - 0. Dee Ford made all the difference.

Great work guys, hats off to all of you.

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