BTSC Mock Draft - Pick #23 by Pittsburgh Steelers: Kentwan Balmer, DE, North Carolina
After twenty-two picks, we've finally arrived at the Steelers. Who better to make a hypothetical selection for the team than steeler lifer, who most of you know hasn't been able to access the site much since our mock kicked off a few weeks ago. That's unfortunate, but hopefully all will be resolved by the time the real draft has passed so that we may all again enjoy his insights, historical acumen, and sense of humor. Next up? The Tennessee Titans and cgolden.
With the 23rd pick of the NFL Draft, the Steelers select North Carolina defensive lineman Kentwan Balmer. This was an exceptionally difficult decision made easier by the words of Mike Tomlin in his post-season analysis: The Steelers have to get younger, bigger and stronger in the trenches. At 6-4 1/2, 308 pounds, Balmer has the ability to be an instant contributor at least on a rotational basis for starting DEs Aaron Smith and Brett Kiesel, and there is some potential for him usurping Kiesel as the starting DE fairly quickly. With a 3-4 front, quality depth is absolutely essential, not only throughout games but as the season progresses. That lack of depth was a major contributing factor to the team's mediocre second half. The Steelers did not address D-line in the off-season so improvement must come through the draft. Drafting Balmer in the first round provides enough of an upgrade so that the Steelers can use their remaining five draft picks at other positions, without needing to make a significant reach for a D-lineman in subsequent rounds.
Although there has been some discussion about team needs my own assessment is that the Steelers primary need is Offensive Tackle. I am not a Max Starks fan and Marvel Smith is approaching the end of his Steeler career, if not because of injury then because he is probably going to cost too much to be retained after becoming a free agent. Willie Colon has limited upside at tackle and Trai Essex is in my mind strictly a bag-holder. The immediate need at center has been allayed by the signing of Justin Hartwig. If Darnell Stapleton does not make progress this year at camp or during the season, then the Steelers can draft a center next year. At guard there is limited talent but enough bodies, especially if Colon is moved, to come up with a serviceable unit.
After Offensive Tackle the most important needs were: Defensive End; Outside Linebacker; Inside Linebacker; Wide Receiver; Special Teams.
There were three other athletes I considered for the No. 23 pick: OLB Quentin Groves, WR Devin Thomas and OT Gosder Cherilus.
Cherilus is too much of a reach to fill my top perceived need. He had an inconsistent senior season in which he moved from right tackle to left tackle, gave up a few sacks and did not do enough to dismiss the collective assessment that he is strictly a right tackle. I like his athleticism and size and I'm actually pretty optimistic that he will be a good pro. I just thought there wasn't enough of a difference between him and other guys who might be available in the second round (Baker, Brown or Nicks).
WR Devin Thomas would be a terrific addition to the Steelers. He has perhaps the draft's best combination of size, speed and athleticism at the WR position. He is an excellent KO return guy and would be dangerous any time and any way you can get the ball to him. With the departure of Cedric Wilson there is a need for WR depth and Hines Ward will also eventually need to be replaced. Thomas could provide some immediate help in a depth capacity while being groomed as Ward's replacement. My reservation however is that Thomas' meteoric rise in the draft rankings is strictly a product of his ability to test well. He's a great athlete, but from what I have seen is a very raw wide receiver who does not run great routes or possess top-notch hands. In my mind, those are the two most important attributes of a wide receiver, not how good his body looks or how fast he runs. He has great potential and if the Steelers had extra draft picks this year, it might be worth taking a shot at him. But not with just six draft picks.
My decision finally came down to Balmer or OLB Quentin Groves. I think Groves will be a very good pro and there is an excellent chance he will be the Steelers' real selection in the draft. I would have no problem with that. He is big for the position, fast, strong against the run, a great attacker at the line of scrimmage. He has had some injury problems but he has had a more consistent college career than Balmer and would be a bigger play-maker than Balmer because of the nature of that position in the Steelers' defense. I am not worried about his recent heart surgery. However, unlike DE, the OLB position is already occupied by one Pro Bowl starter (Harrison) and another who will likely someday play in a Pro Bowl (Woodley). Harrison's age is a minor concern only. Right now the position requires depth, which can be addressed in the third or fourth round.
Balmer is not a sure-fire bet. He is regarded by many draft analysts as a "boom or bust" prospect, based primarily on the fact he played so much better as a Senior than in his previous three years at North Carolina. However, I think it's just as logical to think that he is learning and improving. Balmer showed up for his Pro Day in outstanding condition and tested well in drills and the 40. He has a great combination of strength (33 reps of 225 pounds at the Combine) and speed (5.11). He is tall enough (6-4 1/2) and has a long wingspan and good hands to fight through blocks. He can play 3-4 DE or DT in a 4-3 set. As a defensive tackle at North Carolina he was a major disruptor of the line of scrimmage while also contributing 3.5 QB sacks. My only reluctance in picking Balmer is that the nature of the 3-4 DE position does not really require you to draft a guy in the first round to play it. The 3-4 DE is not so much a play-maker as a guy who allows others to make plays. You can often find that kind of guy later in the draft, just as the Steelers did with Aaron Smith and Kiesel. However, I decided to make the choice of picking a guy who can contribute quickly, plays a position of need and has the physical attributes that can make a good defense even better on the line of scrimmage.
BTSC Mock Draft Team Selections
#1 - Miami Dolphins, Darren Mcfadden
#2 - St. Louis Rams, Chris Long
#3 - Atlanta Falcons, Sedrick Ellis
#4 - Oakland Raiders, Vernon Gholston
#5 - Kansas City Chiefs, Jake Long
#6 - New York Jets, Glen Dorsey
#7 - New England Patriots, Dominique Rodger-Cromartie
#8 - Baltimore Ravens, Jerod Mayo
#9 - Cincinnati Bengals, Keith Rivers
#10 - New Orleans Saints, Aqib Talib
#11 - Buffalo Bills, Malcom Kelly
#12 - Denver Broncos, Ryan Clady
#13 - Carolina Panthers, Chris Williams
#14 - Chicago Bears, Brandon Albert
#15 - Detroit Lions, Leodis McKelvin
#16 - Arizona Cardinals, Jeff Otah
#17 - Minnesota Vikings, Derrick Harvey
#18 - Houston Texans, Rashard Mendenhall
#19 - Philadelphia Eagles, Jonathan Stewart
#20 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Limas Sweed
#21 - Washington Redskins, Mike Jenkins
#22 - Dallas Cowboys, Felix Jones
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very solid evaluation
I'm sure we could get him on board with what we're trying to do, but I keep reading his effort has been spotty throughout his career.
Solid
Question for everyone though: If we pass on a OL in the first won't we have to trade up to get a third tier guy (Baker, Nicks, Brown, Collins) in the second or are we talking about getting a guy like (Richardson, Hills)? Then we're talking about getting the 10th or 11th best OT in the draft right? Not exactly the OL help we were looking for heading into this thing.
Balmer
First off
by WolfpackSteelersFan on Apr 16, 2008 1:18 PM EDT reply actions
very interesting pick
BTW, Grizz over at BTB did a breakdown of the Cowboys schedule and I think you guys will find this analysis very amusing.
"12/7 @ Pittsburgh - In a strange incident, a Dallas fan charges out of the stands and lands a pile-driver on safety Troy Polamalu after a particularly devastating sack of Tony Romo. With Polamalu sidelined, the Cowboys romp. The fan is later identified at the jail house as just "Terry" and he gives a shoutout to the guys at BTB.
WIN"
by Terry @ Behind the Steel Curtain on Apr 16, 2008 1:57 PM EDT reply actions
Balmer
I'd much rather see us take:
Cherilus in rd 1
"Red" Bryant from Texas A&M rd 2
...he may be a reach in round 2 but as far as adding DL depth, I think he would be ideal...team leader, disruptive, Big...
If Cherilus is gone (If he is available I can not see us passing on him...but that's why I can't wait to see what FO is thinking) I think we go:
Stewart
Groves
Mayo
Hardy (I would much rather trade the pick than pick a WR or CB in round 1)
But CGolden brings up a great point..if we pass on OL in round one, what do we do?
It seems the next tier of OT will go early second round (Pollack is projected to be gone as well before we pick in round 2)...my hope is that Nicks will fall b/c of his recent arrest...I would draft the guy in a second...basically got arrested for "looking like someone from an asylum"...now that someone I want on my team!...Big, mean, tough...thats what we need on our OL (that's why I think Kemo is going to fill in very well for Fanaca)...
so we need to take the biggest,meanest O-lineman available in round 2...If thats too much of a reach, we'll have to try for value in round 3 on O-line...I'm just not sure which of the second/third tier O-lineman (other than Nicks) projects best for us...
I like your
No value behind this point, but when I think of great defensive players from NC I think of NC state not the Tarheels.
Chuck Amato's upside
Anyway, I know that was off topic. And, I hope that your perception of great defenders coming from NC State rather than UNC continue. :)
by WolfpackSteelersFan on Apr 16, 2008 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions
If We Pass On An OT
Based on the draft that is on BTSC I agree with the pick of Balmer. Why reach for an OT that definitely won't play this year? It is true the Steelers biggest need is OT but their biggest needs are in the trenches. Unless there is someone like Albert or Otah available the Steelers will need to go with best athlete available. If that is Balmer so be it. He will get on the field in 08 with our DL rotation and could be an instant contributor. If they take him they need to be sure he isn't a bust.
Maybe you
by SteelBuckeye on Apr 16, 2008 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions
Not An Expert
Otah vs. Cherilus
Cherilus is a finished product, by most accounts. He's started as every year since his redshirt freshman year.
It's really a classic case of a known commodity vs. an unknown commodity. Would you rather have the high risk, high reward pick or the low risk, lower reward pick?
conservative
But Otah v. Cherilus, I would always take the guy with 50+ career starts, whose been very productive vs. good competiton...you know what your getting.
It could be very painful to "swing and miss" on a 1st round pick...especially on the o-line...
The more I think about, I agree with
by WolfpackSteelersFan on Apr 17, 2008 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Question
In this order
- Safe OL pick
- Stewart
- Mayo (Blitz is winning me over on Mayo) not sure about Groves
- CB with good hands
by WolfpackSteelersFan on Apr 18, 2008 9:42 AM EDT up reply actions
My order for round 1
Stewart
Groves
Trade
if these players aren't available, really look to trade down and pick up an extra 2nd or 3rd pick
WR
I don't like Kelly, may have attitude problems...Hardy, Sweed have potential but also come with various "issues"...too risky at 23...3 wideouts I like in later rounds: Jordy Nelson-Kansas, Jerome Simpson-Coastal Carolina, Ernie Wheelwright-Minnesota...
RB
I usually don't like RB's in round 1...but Stewart has grown on me...looks real good...if top O-lineman are gone and we can't trade down and he is available, he would be hard to pass on...
ILB
Mayo would be tempting...but at ILB I also really like Curtis Lofton-OK...if he is around in round 2 and FO wants an ILB he would be a great value...I like him in round 2 as a better value than Mayo in round 1...

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