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Week 3 NFL Picks

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My picks in bold. My four 'locks' of the week to follow.

Tennessee Titans (+3) at New York Giants

Buffalo Bills (+14.5) at New England Patriots

Cleveland Browns (+11) at Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) at Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons (+4) at New Orleans Saints

San Francisco 49ers (-3) at Kansas City Chiefs

Detroit Lions (+11) at Minnesota Vikings

Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Houston Texans

Washington Redskins (-4) at St. Louis Rams

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Indianapolis Colts (-6) at Denver Broncos

San Diego Chargers (-6) at Seattle Seahawks

Oakland Raiders (+4.5) at Arizona Cardinals

New York Jets (+2) at Miami Dolphins

Green Bay Packers (-3) at Chicago Bears

*******

Ha, I just picked the road team in 12 of this week's 16 games! There's a strong argument to be made that home field advantage isn't what it once was - hell, blackouts are becoming more and more common, including this coming Sunday down in Tampa Bay. Still, something tells me 12 road teams ain't covering this weekend. That said, there's a few in there that I'd put in my 'locks' category for the week, if I had to do so.

They are....

San Diego Chargers (-6) at Seattle Seahawks

  • Seattle is a bad football team. Don't be fooled by Week 1. 304 passing yards allowed last week at the hands of Kyle Orton??? Wow, good luck stopping Phillip Rivers on a day when the Chargers rushing attack will be limited due to Ryan Matthew being banged up. Lock city.

San Francisco 49ers (-3) at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Saw enough from San Francisco last week to tell me that they've got a big road win in them this coming weekend at Arrowhead. The Chiefs have been winning with smoke and mirrors through two games. I give them credit where credit is due, but it's not sustainable. And even though I'm not that high on SF over the long haul, this is the type of game I know they're capable of winning when they have to. 

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) at Carolina Panthers

  • This almost is a joke to me. Jimmy Claussen against a top-tier pass defense in his first ever NFL start?

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • This one could very well be a three point game. Believe me, I don't see Charlie Batch engineering greatness on offense. But I LOVE the fact that three Steelers were fined this week - James Harrison, Hines Ward, and Chris Kemoeatu. Does that sound like three guys you'd like to piss off? Not me. I think we maybe see the Steelers pitch their first shutout of the year, assuming they don't gift wrap good field position vis-a-vis turnovers on offense or sloppy special teams play. 

Sorry for not jumping into the Pick 'Em game for BTSC or getting anything organized this year. Got enough going on, but perhaps we'll set something up for the second half of the season. For now, let me know who you like this weekend. More to come on Friday about the Steelers road game against the 2-0 Buccaneers.