After the conclusion of our 2014 community mock draft last week, I had meant to do a summary/recap piece to put a nice little bow on it. For reasons that you don't care about, I unfortunately did not have the time to do so though.
Nonetheless, I still owe you guys something for it - and now with the first round of the 2014 NFL Draft in the books, we can see how accurate our predictions were!
Let's look at the results side-by-side.
Green numbers indicate that a player was actually selected that many spots before where they went in the community mock, while red numbers indicate that a player was actually selected later (and "NP" indicates the actual selection was not picked at all in the mock).
"Original Team" is the order we worked with for the mock (which team was effectively in that slot once the draft order was finalized, and after accounting for past trades), while "Actual Team" is who ended up picking in that slot after last night's wheeling and dealing.
|Original Team||Mock pick (Link to write up)||Positions||Actual pick||Actual Team|
|1||Blake Bortles||QB - DE||Jadeveon Clowney (+3)|
|2||Johnny Manziel||QB - OT||Greg Robinson (+7)|
|3||Teddy Bridgewater||QB - QB||Blake Bortles (-2)|
|4||Jadeveon Clowney||DE - WR||Sammy Watkins (+3)|
|5||Jake Matthews||OT - LB||Khalil Mack (+1)|
|6||Khalil Mack||LB - OT||Jake Matthews (-1)|
|7||Sammy Watkins||WR - WR||Mike Evans (+5)|
|8||C.J. Mosley||LB - CB||Justin Gilbert (+3)|
|9||Greg Robinson||OT - OLB||Anthony Barr (+1)|
|10||Anthony Barr||OLB - TE||Eric Ebron (+8)|
|11||Justin Gilbert||CB - OT||Taylor Lewan (+6)|
|12||Mike Evans||WR - WR||Odell Beckham Jr. (+10)|
|13||Ha Ha Clinton-Dix||S - DT||Aaron Donald (+1)|
|14||Aaron Donald||DT - CB||Kyle Fuller (+10)|
|15||Darqueze Dennard||CB - LB||Ryan Shazier (+6)|
|16||Calvin Pryor||S - OL||Zack Martin (+3)|
|17||Taylor Lewan||OT - LB||C.J. Mosley (-9)|
|18||Eric Ebron||TE - S||Calvin Pryor (-2)|
|19||Zack Martin||OT - OT||Ja'Wuan James (NP)|
|20||Dee Ford||OLB - WR||Brandin Cooks (+8)|
|21||Ryan Shazier||LB - S||Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (-8)|
|22||Odell Beckham Jr.||WR - QB||Johnny Manziel (-20)|
|23||Kelvin Benjamin||WR - DE||Dee Ford (-3)|
|24||Kyle Fuller||CB - CB||Darqueze Dennard (-9)|
|25||Ra'Shede Hageman||DT - CB||Jason Verrett (+5)|
|26||Derek Carr||QB - LB||Marcus Smith (NP)|
|27||Marqise Lee||WR - S||Deone Bucannon (NP)|
|28||Brandin Cooks||WR - WR||Kelvin Benjamin (-5)|
|29||Timmy Jernigan||DT - DT||Dominique Easley (NP)|
|30||Jason Verrett||CB - S||Jimmie Ward (NP)|
|31||Xavier Su'a-Filo||OG - CB||Bradley Roby (NP)|
|32||Cyrus Kouandjio||OT - QB||Teddy Bridgewater (-29)|
For sake of comparison, just a few days ago on May 6th, ESPN's pool of dedicated team reporters did a 1st round mock in an afternoon: they accounted for 25 of the 32 actual first round picks, and had the spots for seven picks exactly correct. While no picks were exactly correct in our community mock (not the biggest deal, seeing how ours evolved over the course of a full month and ended a full week before yesterday), we accounted for 26 of the 32 first rounders.
Yes, I am scoring that as BTSC misfits - 1, ESPN NFL Nation professionals - 0. Dee Ford made all the difference.
Great work guys, hats off to all of you.