The Pittsburgh Steelers might be rolling into Mile High Stadium on the back of a six game winning streak, but that has done little to convince the bookmakers they will have an easy time of it when they take on a Denver Broncos’ team who has lost six of their last eight.
An opening spread of 3.5-points has actually dropped by half a point over the last few days and it would appear the betting public is also wary of the team that just ended the Los Angeles Chargers’ own six game win streak in Week 11. However, for those still inspired by the Steelers comeback over the Jacksonville Jaguars, a spread of only a field goal represents good value for a team that has not won by less than 4-points since Week 3.
An early totals position of 47.5-points has also seen a slight fall, with 46.5-points now the more standard line. After an initial money line offering of -192, most sportsbooks now have Pittsburgh priced up around -170 as of Friday.
According to Oddsshark.com, Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six games and 6-3-1 ATS overall on the season. The total has gone over in eight of the Steelers last 12 games and the under is 4-6 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh is 1-4-2 ATS in their last seven games versus Denver and the total has gone over in four of the Steelers last six games on the road against them.
With the exception of Vance McDonald in Week 3 and JuJu Smith-Schuster in Week 10, the Steelers first touchdown each week has been scored by either James Conner or Antonio Brown. Since it was apparently Brown’s turn to open the scoring last week, we will be siding with Conner in Week 12 at prices of around 7/2 for the game’s first touchdown and around 2/1 for first team touchdown.