The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Kansas City Chiefs in their home opener on Sunday, looking to extend their three game winning streak over the team from Missouri. The Steelers currently hold a comfortable lead in the series with a 23-11 advantage dating back to 1970 and Mike Tomlin has only lost to Kansas City twice in his career since taking over in Pittsburgh with a 6-2 record.
An opening line of 5.5-points has been replaced by a consensus spread of 4.5-points as we get closer to game day and it should be expected this line will narrow further if Ben Roethlisberger is ruled out of the contest before kickoff. Until the status of Big Ben, David DeCastro and Joe Haden is known, this is probably a bet to be avoided unless you are looking to back the Chiefs.
Somewhat surprisingly, an initial Over/Under of 49.5-points has seen enough action on the over to move the line to 53-points at the time of writing. However, only one of the last seven games played between these two teams has gone over 40-points and early bets are advised on the under in case there is a correction to the totals position when injury reports are released on Friday.
Despite the shortening spread, an early moneyline offering of +145 to -167 has been replaced by a prices of +180 to -210 with most providers. A value line right now for Kansas City if Roethlisberger ultimately does not play.
According to Oddsshark.com, The total has gone under in 6 of the Steelers’ last 7 games against the Chiefs and Pittsburgh is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 home games versus Kansas City. That being said, the Steelers are 0-5 ATS against the spread in their last 5 home games and the total has gone over in 6 of their last 7 games at Heinz Field, so one of these sets of trends is will be broken in one way or another on Sunday.