To the surprise of many observers, the Pittsburgh Steelers opened as 2.5 points favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the start of the week, and while the bookmakers have since made an adjustment, they’re still giving the Steelers a slight edge in the contest. With the Las Vegas sports books currently offering a line of -1 at the time of this writing, Pittsburgh is an increasingly good value for those who haven’t lost faith in the Black-and-gold.
While an initial totals position of 49.5 points has more commonly been replaced by a line of 53.5 points, it might not yet be high enough to account for the two defenses that will be on the field at Raymond James Stadium — each of which has struggled to stop anyone from scoring this season. But it’s perhaps worth noting that only one of the 10 games played between these two teams dating back to 1976 has ever exceeded the current points total.
Moneyline backers should be attracted by a change in price from an early offering of -167 to +130 on Monday to a more appealing line of -120 to +100, if you like the Steelers.
According to Oddsshark, although Pittsburgh is 1-8 against the spread in their last nine games, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus Tampa Bay. While the the total has gone over in four of the Steelers’ last five games, it has gone under in four of their last six against the Buccaneers. Our pick would be to take Pittsburgh and the over on Monday night.
Those looking for value-prop bets for the game should look into the available prices for James Washington to be first touchdown scorer. He was the target on the opening pass to start the game in Week 2 that could have gone for a significant gain if completed, and he figures to be a consistent target throughout the evening in Tampa. Expected to be listed around 12/1 or higher, the young rookie is well worth considering.