The Pittsburgh Steelers are headed to Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts in Week 15 for a special-edition Saturday showdown. The game kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET and will air on NFL Network as part of a three-game slate on Saturday, December 16.
Here are three player props to consider wagering ahead of this Steelers vs. Colts Week 15 matchup, with all odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Diontae Johnson longest reception OVER 19.5 yards (-105)
When most fans think of the Pittsburgh Steelers going deep (as infrequently as it seems to happen these days), the first name that usually comes to mind is that of wide receiver George Pickens. However, since his first game returning from a hamstring injury, it’s actually Diontae Johnson who’s seen more action downfield. Since his return in Week 7, Johnson has seen 31 targets of 10+ yards compared to 22 targets of 10+ yards for Pickens. That’s translated to some explosive plays for Johnson, having notched a reception of 20 or more yards in all but three games this season.
Over the past five weeks, the Colts have allowed the second-highest explosive play rate on targets out wide, which could allow Mitch Trubisky & Co. some room for big plays. Trubisky has attempted passes of 20+ air yards at a 14.3% clip this season — the fifth-highest rate of any quarterback with 50 or more pass attempts in 2023.
Najee Harris anytime TD (+145)
The Indianapolis Colts defense has had plenty of weaknesses in the secondary this season. Still, their biggest issue has been stopping the run, and in particular, stopping opposing offenses from scoring against them on the ground. To date this year, the Colts are tied for the second-most rushing touchdowns allowed this season (19), having allowed the ninth-most rushing yards and eighth-most explosive rushing plays to date this season.
That weakness for the Colts should bode well for the Steelers, who will likely come out of their mini-bye with a greater emphasis on the run (and more time to establish it if things go as planned). Though there could be room for both running backs Najee Harris
and Jaylen Warren to get going, Harris gets the edge in the likelihood of scoring a touchdown, having seen a 65% market share on red zone carries and a 75% market share on runs inside the five for the Steelers to date this season.
Josh Downs OVER 42.5 receiving yards (-115)
The Steelers’ depth at inside linebacker has been widdled down to just about nothing since the season-ending injuries of Cole Holcomb and Kwon Alexander, which has posed a huge liability over the middle of the field in recent weeks. That’s provided plenty of opportunity for tight ends and slot receivers alike to feast, taking advantage of LB Mykal Walker’s greatest weakness (pass coverage).
Though Downs has seen a decreased role in recent weeks amidst an increase in usage for teammate Alec Pierce, Downs should be a more favorable matchup for the Colts to take advantage of against the Steelers in particular. Downs has led the team with 41 targets out of the slot this season; meanwhile, the Steelers have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards on targets to the slot and the third-most plays of 16+ yards dating back to Week 10.