The newly reignited Pittsburgh Steelers offense is set to face the Arizona Cardinals in Week 13, who sit with a 2-10 record with one of the worst defenses in the National Football League. The stats point to several “overs” for Pittsburgh looking like smash plays heading into Sunday, and we’ll soon find out if that’s the case, with kickoff set for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.
If you’re looking to get in on the action, here are our favorite Steelers-Cardinals player props for Week 13, with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Kenny Pickett OVER 196.5 passing yards (-115)
In the Steelers’ first game without former OC Matt Canada calling plays, Kenny Pickett notched the second-highest passing yard total of his career with 278 yards. This week, the Cardinals should prove to be another solid matchup to ignite the pass attack, giving up 7.32 yards per pass attempt (6th most), including a 97 NFL passer rating (2nd-highest) and a league-low 30.5% pressure rate so far this season. Pickett’s hit this total in six of 11 games this season even despite the Steelers’ struggles on offense, and considering the fluidity in the passing game displayed in Week 12 without much time preparing with a new staff, things should continue trending up in a plus matchup.
Pat Freiermuth OVER 34.5 receiving yards (-115)
Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth missed some time early this season with a hamstring injury that landed him on injured reserve, but even when healthy, his involvement in the passing game was minimal, averaging just 2.8 targets per game heading into Week 12. A big part of that seemed to be quarterback Kenny Pickett’s unwillingness to target the middle of the field, but in Week 12, that all changed. After totaling just 12 completions for 104 yards on targets over the middle in Weeks 4-11, Pickett totaled nine completions for 133 yards over the middle in Week 12 alone.
His targets over the middle benefited Freiermuth in a big way, who nabbed nine catches for a career-high 120 receiving yards. The Cardinals haven’t been a pushover matchup for opposing tight ends necessarily. However, tight ends have combined for 35 or more receiving tight ends in seven of 12 games this season, and coming off a hot game where Freiermuth was the team’s most efficient receiver, expect them to continue to target him to keep that connection over the middle rolling.
James Conner OVER 64.5 rush + receiving yards (-120)
The Steelers defense heads into Week 13 as healthy as they’ve been all season, which may give some bettors hesitation on hitting the over for Cardinals running back James Conner’s total rushing and receiving yards. However, Week 13 marks his first matchup against the Steelers (and as such, first return to Pittsburgh), where he didn’t just start his professional career, but also, his college career, where he made an emotional comeback to the field after a diagnosis of Hodgkins Lymphoma in December of 2015. Conner’s a local product, born and raised in Erie, PA, and is a Pittsburgh man through and through, regardless of his current team.
Expect him to get plenty of work in Week 13 with plenty of motivation to show out. With several injuries for the Cardinals at receiver, the team could look to emphasize the run, with Conner at the front of it all. With 16+ touches in all but three of his games this season, his workhorse status and overall efficiency this season should get him to the over in this outing, even in a more challenging matchup.