The Pittsburgh Steelers are headed back to M&T Bank Stadium on Saturday, January 6 for their final game of the regular season, up against the AFC’s No. 1 seeded Baltimore Ravens. While the Ravens have little to play for, the Steelers will lay it all on the line seeking one of the final wild card spots in the 2023-24 NFL playoffs. With a win and some help, they’ll be in, and luckily, the Ravens will sit a number of key starters to help their cause.
Looking to get in on the action? Here are three Steelers-Ravens player props to consider for Week 18.
Tyler Huntley UNDER 162.5 passing yards (-115)
Backup quarterback Tyler Huntley is officially set to make his ninth-career start in Week 18 as the Ravens have elected to rest starter Lamar Jackson. Though the under on Huntley’s passing total is quite low, there are still several reasons to consider taking the under in this AFC North showdown. Huntley started five games for the Ravens last year amid an injury to Lamar Jackson, and he failed to exceed that total in four of five games, including each of his past four regular-season starts (even with top receiving options available to him).
Now, he’ll be throwing to a crew of backup receivers and backup tight ends in this outing, with names like Rashod Bateman, Nelson Agholor and Devin Duvernay as his top receiving options. Beware on the temptation to smash the over, even despite this low line. Huntley’s greatest threat in this outing is as a rusher. Keep an eye out to see if props become available, having averaged just over 42 rushing yards per game over three starts against the Steelers in his career.
Chris Boswell OVER 1.5 FG made (+100)
Here’s the thing about Steelers-Ravens football — it’s nitty, it’s gritty, and it’s generally a low-scoring affair with few touchdowns and many, many field goals. Why should that be any different in Week 18? Steelers kicker Chris Boswell has been a huge component of the Steelers-Ravens rivalry, making the plus odds available on OVER 1.5 field goals (+100) look rather tempting. Boswell has attempted and made two or more field goals in all but one of the Steelers’ last six matchups against the Ravens dating back to the 2020 season. Boswell ranks seventh in field goal percentage this season (93.3%), while the Ravens rank seventh in the league with 31 field goals against and eighth with a 91.2% field goal percentage allowed.
Mason Rudolph OVER 191.5 passing yards (-115)
We’ve now hit on Mason Rudolph’s passing yardage total for each of the past two weeks — why stop now? Though the Ravens defense ranks No. 1 in defensive DVOA per FTN, they’ll be without a number of key contributors in the secondary, including cornerback Marlon Humphrey, and likely safety Kyle Hamilton — arguably the MVP of this secondary.
Among passers with 50+ attempts in 2023, Rudolph ranks fifth in “accurate-plus” throw percentage, per PFF, meaning throws that are both accurate and placed in a way that minimizes risk against coverage and can maximize ability for the receiver to generate yards after the catch. He’s posted 270+ passing yards in each of the past two weeks, averaging 10.5 yards per attempt and a 115.3 passer rating. Though there’s risk in betting against even a depleted Ravens secondary, there’s a lot to like about the momentum Rudolph is carrying into Week 18 and the success they’ve found in the run to help set up chunk plays in the passing game.
Note: At the time of publishing, there are limited rushing props available for the Baltimore Ravens. Once betting lines are LIVE, consider the receiving overs on TE Isaiah Likely and WR Rashod Bateman, who stand to be Huntley’s top receiving options depending on the line available.
Likely has had 40+ receiving yards in each of his give games since an ankle injury ended TE Mark Andrews’ regular season. Bateman, meanwhile, has seen an increased role in the offense in the second half of the season, averaging five targets per game over the past five weeks, while top wideouts Zay Flowers (doubtful) and Odell Beckham Jr. (ruled out) could give him an opportunity to expand on that role in Week 18.